Fantasy Fours – Week 5 Edition

Week five of the “Fantasy Fours”, as a reminder here are my target percentages – Fantasy Gold = .300, Fantasy Diamonds = .500 and Fantasy Steel = .500.

A review of week four:

Fantasy Gold Division (Top 4 within position):

Hits: Peyton Manning (#3), Arian Foster (#1), Reggie Wayne (#3), Antonio Gates (#1), Dallas Clark (#3), San Diego (#1)

Misses: Aaron Rodgers (#6), Phillip Rivers (#10), Tom Brady (#22), Michael Turner (#28), Chris Johnson (#34), Ronnie Brown (#36), Roddy White (#10), Brandon Marshall (#32), Steve Smith (#47), Jermichael Finley (#8), Vernon Davis (#7), Tennessee (#5), NY Jets (#6) and Pittsburgh (#20)

Overall: 6-14 or .300

Season: 18-42 (.300)

Fantasy Diamonds (under the radar – top 12 at QB/TE/DT, top 24 at RB/WR):

Hits: Sam Bradford (#8), Maurice Jones-Drew (#3), Ryan Mathews (#18), Shonn Greene (#22), Zach Miller (#2), Ben Watson (#10), NY Giants (#2), Cleveland (#12)

Misses: Chad Henne (#13), Alex Smith (#23), Matt Hasselbeck (#25), Justin Forsett (#320, Marques Colston (#40), Jacoby Jones (#74), Legedu Naanee (#85), Mike Sims-Walker (#92), John Carlson (#34), Kevin Boss (#36), New Orleans (#15), Indianapolis (#30)

Overall: 8-12 or .400

Season: 24-36 (.400)

Fantasy Steel (out of the top 12 for QB/TE/DT, top 24 for RB/WR):

Hits: Mike Vick (#27), Jay Cutler (#31), Matt Forte (#45), Jahvid Best (#26), Ray Rice (#48), Cedric Benson (#37), Chad OchoCinco (#33), Mike Wallace (#61), Andre Johnson (#92), Tony Gonzalez (#15), Greg Olsen (#19), Chicago (#13), Philadelphia (#21), Miami (#29)

Misses: Matt Schuab (#11), Mark Sanchez (#12), Anquan Boldin (#20), Dustin Keller (#4), Jeremy Shockey (#11), Atlanta (#9)

Overall: 14-6 or .700. It’s clear that I am a much better pessimist than a optimist

Season: 40-20 (.667)

Week five “Fantasy Fours”:

Fantasy Gold

Quarterbacks:

  • Drew Brees
  • Peyton Manning
  • Mark Sanchez
  • Phillip Rivers

Running Backs:

  • Arian Foster
  • Steven Jackson
  • Maurice Jones-Drew
  • Mike Tolbert

Wide Receivers:

  • Austin Collie
  • Calvin Johnson
  • Hakeem Nicks
  • Roddy White

 

Tight Ends

  • Dallas Clark
  • Dustin Keller
  • Antonio Gates
  • Jermichael Finley

Defense

  • Chicago
  • New York Jets
  • Cincinnati
  • San Diego

Fantasy Diamonds

Quarterbacks:

  • Shaun Hill
  • Sam Bradford
  • Donovan McNabb
  • Eli Manning

Running Backs:

  • Thomas Jones
  • Fred Jackson
  • Ryan Torain
  • Beanie Wells

Wide Receivers:

  • Dez Brayant
  • Brandon Gibson
  • Percy Harvin
  • Marques Colston

 

Tight Ends:

  • Greg Olsen
  • Marcedes Lewis
  • Jermaine Gresham
  • Ben Watson

Defense

  • Detroit
  • New Orleans
  • Chicago
  • Dallas

Fantasy Steel

Quarterbacks:

  • Aaron Rodgers
  • Kyle Orton
  • Matt Schaub
  • Tony Romo

Running Backs:

  • LeSean McCoy
  • Matt Forte
  • Chris Johnson
  • Ahmad Bradshaw

Wide Receivers:

  • Miles Austin
  • Terrell Owens
  • Braylon Edwards
  • Desean Jackson

 

Tight Ends

  • Tony Moeaki
  • Vernon Davis
  • Tony Gonzalez
  • Brandon Pettigrew

Defense

  • St. Louis
  • Kansas City
  • Tennessee
  • NY Giants

Fantasy Draft Day Running Log

Welcome to the 2010 fantasy football season. It seems like yesterday that I was trying to figure out how to hoist four 2009 fantasy championship trophies above my head during my induction into the fantasy hall of fame. Yep, my 2009 season was un-real, so much so that there is no way 2010 could be better, in fact no year can ever be better. Because of that and my personal belief that the defending champ has to return unless they announce, before the end of the year, that it is their last. Therefore, after 15 seasons of playing fantasy football I am planning to go out on top and retiring at the end of 2010.

I am walking away from the game I love for a variety of reasons. First off, I am hyper-competitive, which makes it fairly tough to deal with the countless ups and downs in a typical fantasy season. Secondly, my first season playing fantasy football forever tainted me; I dominated that initial season unlike any other. Therefore, I compare every season to that one and they constantly come up short. After the 15 years of playing, I feel a little like a veteran NFL coach who longer delights in successes, seeing them as fleeting, but choosing to dwell on the failures, which linger on for months. Yea, I need a break from it.

But the most important reason for my bailing is that fantasy games have gotten to the point where the difference between player A and player B is almost entirely due to luck. Player A can spend a myriad of hours analyzing stats, tacking player movements, developing metrics and scouring the web for information. They have an advantage over Player B who does no preparation, right? Wrong, Player B can download a draft kit from a well known fantasy website the night before the draft and essentially draft a quality, competitive team.

But you say – “Cavey, Player A will be more prepared and have a better understanding of when to pull the trigger on potential sleepers?” My response, what is a sleeper? As soon as one of these so-called national website fantasy experts spews the name of, say a Kareem Huggins, as his sleeper pick, he is no longer a sleeper. And it actually works opposite, a player less prepared will be more likely to pull a Jim Levenstein (quick how many of you knew that was the last name Jason Biggs ludicrous character in American Pie, me neither) and prematurely pull the trigger on Huggins six rounds too early because they don’t know any better.

OK, off the soap box and on to the reason we are here – the third annual running log of the both the Sizzling and Dry Heat fantasy league drafts. As an added twist this year I have asked a few FOC (Friends of Caveman) to help with commentary. Here is a quick bio for each:

Logan Gregor – the self proclaimed “fantasy expert” of the group; He claims he has a copyright on the phrase”Nice Pick”, as well as any derivative.

Curtis David – Continues to play despite never having any success; he is the type of guy who shows up to the draft and hopes that someone has an extra fantasy magazine; but he is a hit at every draft because of his consistent delivery high quality, off-topic quotes. If you really want to throw him off, hold the draft a sports bar with a wait staff of males.

Jay Goff – Wisconsin native who eats, drinks, breathes and craps Packer football. Has two simple rules in fantasy football, he must have at least one Packer on his team and he will never, ever have a Viking or a Bear.

10:55:58 AM – About 20 minutes until the Dry Heat first pick, let’s set the stage – a much better room than last year (of course a fairly well lit Afghanistan cave would have been better than the room last year); very private; booths are equipped with personal TVs; unfortunately the internet connection is non-existent, which really sucks considering I was planning to do some homework on my draft at the draft. Boys, do you have any comments on the room?

Jay Goff – Nice place, but I reserve judgment until I dive into some cheese fries

Logan Gregor – Nice pick!

Curtis – Where are all the women?

11:30:58 AM – And we are underway with the first pick – Adrian Peterson! Followed by a surprise at number two – Aaron Rodgers, which has Jay grumbling – “He should have been number one over that scrub Peterson”.

11:32:14 AM – And the first “Who?” is muttered when Maurice Jones-Drew is selected at number three. The “Who” at fantasy drafts is similar to the comment of “Get in the hole!” at a PGA tournament immediately after a golfer tees off on a 600 yard par 5.

11:33:47 AM – Wow, the first round is flying as we have moved to my pick at number nine, it’s between Steven Jackson and Drew Brees. I have to go with Brees, especially with Manning and Rodgers off the board.

Me – “quarterback Drew Brees”

Logan – “That’s a nice pick!”

11:35:05 AM – Wow, the rookie (Ryan Mathews) goes at #10. 15 years ago Ryan Mathews would have lasted until the 6th round. Two months ago, Mathews was projected as a mid 2nd rounder, now he is going at the bottom of the first round. If this was a real draft Mathews just went from looking for an apartment in Compton to bidding on mansions in Bel Air.

11:36:45 AM – I cannot keep up with the flurry of picks, which gets me thinking what it would be like if the first round of the NFL draft took 4 minutes to complete. ESPN would implode! At this pace we will be done at 12:38PM!

11:37:23 AM – My pick again – Jay tells me to take Ryan Grant; Thanks for the advice – Miles Austin joins the defending champs.

11:40:13 AM – Second round is in the books – wow everyone must have plans for this afternoon. Never fear though – the second draft will even out the time. Let’s quickly hear from FOC on the second round:

Logan – “I love Tom Brady in the second round, that’s a great pick! I am not a big fan of Reggie Wayne that early (1st pick of the second round) or Brandon Marshall. And. . .”

Me – “I said quickly, Jay, can you give me a quick comment?”

Jay – “Three Packers in the top 23, the most of any team! This team is so headed for the Super Bowl.

Curtis – “Is Chris Johnson hurt? I cannot believe he is still available. Where is the waitress, I hope she’s hot!”

Me – “Curtis, CJ is a keeper”

11:50:37 AM – The pace has slowed to about a minute a pick – my third round pick – Antonio Gates. So, being the defending champ has benefited me in a couple of ways, first, I am much more relaxed drafting, as if last year somehow validates my entire fantasy existence and now I have freedom to draft a quarterback in the first round and a tight end in the third; secondly, DA BOYZ FROM NYC, who is sitting across the table from me is trying, albeit slyly, to look at my draft list as though I am the straight-A student taking the Physics final exam.

11:57:51 AM – We have quite the comedian running the draft – “Steamers squeeze one out. . .” Okay, so here is a “fresh one” – Dwayne Bowe. Jonathan Stewart right before me – argh!

12:06:42 – Fifth round is already underway and the 4th pick of the round is Arian Foster, which draws the comment from the MC, “Arian Nation Foster”. Yea, I am pretty sure that is not his nickname. However, the mention of the Arian Nation has me wondering what the ANWOFL (Arian Nation Whites Only Fantasy League) draft would look like? Here is a crack at the first round picks:

  1. Peyton Manning
  2. Tom Brady
  3. Wes Welker
  4. Drew Brees
  5. Aaron Rodgers
  6. Dallas Clark
  7. Tony Romo
  8. Phillip Rivers
  9. Matt Schuab
  10. Jason Witten
  11. Joe Flacco
  12. Brett Favre

The second round is a mix of tight ends, fullbacks and kickers – draft over!

12:21:19 – Round six in the books – Michael Crabtree and Felix Jones are now members of the Steamer family and will eagerly wait being dropped off at the pool. Biggest disappointment – I was in on Ahmad Bradsahw and figured I would wait at least until Brandon Jacobs was selected – but Bradshaw goes before Jacobs.

Break time – let’s get some opinions

Logan –”Joseph Addai in the sixth round is the steal of the draft. He is the starting running back on a great offense, how is he any different than a Jonathan Stewart? Except that he starts and has a quarterback that DCs have to account for.”

Me – “Most of the time you annoy the crap out of me that I barely listen to you, but that was nice analysis, thanks Logan. And I tend to agree that the hate on Addai is out of control, but remember this guy gets gassed walking up a flight of stairs.”

Jay – “Bernard Berrian in the sixth round? By far the worst pick of the draft – he’s got no quarterback!”

Curtis – “Are you kidding me? One waitress for this entire group and she looks like Linda Lavin! Can you join me in prayer that we get more, hotter waitresses”

Me – “Curtis, any opinion on the draft?”

Curtis – “Uh, yea, Chris Johnson still hasn’t been drafted – what is wrong with this league.”

12:35:03 – Round seven begins with the selection of Michael Bush.

Curtis – “I love Bush, hehehe!”

12:48:41 – If I had a huge fan base that immediately critiqued my picks, I would have just been booed out of the building with my last two picks – Thomas Jones and Justing Forsett. It’s starting to go south for me, but guess what – I AM STILL THE CHAMP!

12:54:58 – This is a fairly quiet group but the following comment caught my attention – “Donovan McNabb will be the Cardinals quarterback next year”. Really? If so, why didn’t the Cardinals make a move on him this year? And my guess is Whisenhunt can’t stand Matt Lienart because his mechanics are poor, why would he be interested in a player with worse mechanics.

Curtis –”Dude, I have to get in this league – Chris Johnson went in the 9th round! And Linda Lavin was a moderately attractive middle-aged woman – I love the ladies!”

Jay – “Leinart is no Aaron Rodgers”

Me – “Thanks for that insight, Jay”

13:07:58 – Eli Manning in the 11th round – I love that Citizen Eco-Drive commercial with Eli Manning – “Eli Manning is unstoppable”, which before that amazing run in the 2007 playoffs was false advertising. In fact it was so far from the truth – it would be like Budweiser claiming beer does not impair your ability to draft your fantasy team.

13:29:34 Round 13th – an owner, who clearly is either a complete sell-out or does not have a daughter, drafts Roethlisberger. Hey pal, this league doesn’t give points for forcing co-ed’s into oral sex.

Logan –”That’s a great pick. Look you cannot have any bias or prejudice if you want to be successful in fantasy football. I mean look no further than that Jets fan, they have a roster half-filled with Jets.”

13:30:47 – Still in round 13th and we have a problem – Lance Moore is the pick and someone un-knowing owner shouted “Nice pick, I like that pick”. Expect a visit from Logan and a royalty bill for copyright infringement. I just drafted Jeremy Shockey to back up Antonio Gates and maybe take advantage to playing two TEs. Sweet.

Logan –”Look I hate to be a prick, but ‘Nice Pick’, and all variations are my intellectual property. It is what it is.”

13:35:12 – The food here is over-priced and below average, but the free room more than makes up for the deficiency. 14th Round and I nabbed the Steelers –     the 8th defense off the board, I guarantee the Steelers finish better than 8th best. Yea, Polamalu is that important.

Jay – “You will be disappointed with the Steelers, the Packers laid 36 on them and would have beat them without that lucky pass. Is Roethlisberger the luckiest quarterback in the NFL? Think about the Super Bowl pass – he couldn’t make that pass again.”

Curtis – “Roethlisberger is one of the luckiest quarterbacks in the league and when he doesn’t get lucky he forces the luck!”

Logan – “Hey pal, nice job planning bye weeks, Gates and Shockey have the same bye.”

13:47:33 – Hello third tight end! For the first time, I am really upset – Kyle Orton is slated to be my next pick and some clown takes him two picks in front of me. I only need a quarterback for one week and Orton has a great matchup that one week! My guess is the clown took him for the same reason – man, I hate it when people are logical.

13:53:01 – We lost a couple owners this year – Filthy Little Monkeys, who lost a playoff game last year when they were forced to play an injured kicker, if being forced means failing to manage their roster. And Beantown Warpigs, who was best known for 1. telling other owners to “Pipe Down, B!tch” at the draft; and 2. attempting to draft his team from an iPhone app (presumably a beta version). Well, both of those things just came up in a bit of a “rip” session. It’s getting punchy!

14:00:03 – My last pick – Steven Gostkowski, ok I will take the Patriots kicker in the 18th round. My third tight end – Jermaine Gresham, who by the end of the season might be a weekly play even with the corpse of Carson Palmer throwing him the ball. That might free up Shockey for deal. I can see Wheeling Shockey, after a big game, for Ray Rice or Frank Gore!

Curtis – “I think two o-clock is shift change”

14:03:04 – Roughly 2:30 to get to Dry Heat’s Mr. Irrelevant – Demeryious Thomas. Who? We have a 57 minute break, which should be plenty of time to get my iced tea filled and reset the wireless router.

14:25:29 – Curtis –”I haven’t seen Flo for over an hour, I think we have a new shift of waitresses – Fresh Meat!”

14:40:53 – About 20 minutes left until Sidewinders are on the clock with the first pick, which means we can expect the first pick to be made in about 25 minutes. Sidewinders are notorious for taking the most time to make picks. So much so, that I proposed last year to give them either first pick or last pick every year so they would have back-to-back picks every round. That didn’t help as the delay between the back-to-back picks was significant as well. Then I tried to get a rule passed that each team had a finite amount of time to make picks, like in chess. Once time was up, you were left to picking players out of the pool to fill your remaining roster. Now that is a way to a. speed up the draft; and b. and an element of excitement. Owners would randomly scream names and pull a Fletch move in attempt to buy more time:

Owner: Steve Smith

Draft MC: Which one?

Owner: Uh-Huh.

Draft MC: Well, the Giants Steve Smith or Carolina?

14:47:14 – I forgot to do this before but a quick check of who is in attendance – overall a very lame turn out Roddy White, Tony Romo, Laverneous Coles and Shawn Merriman. What’s with the lack of jersey’s? My theory is that once a guy is married, has children and resides in some sprawling suburb, it is taboo for him to wear a jersey unless he is clearly going to a game. That is if taboo means that his wife will kill him if he tried to incorporate a jersey into his everyday casual attire. Therefore, he doesn’t own more than maybe one jersey and when the situation calls for a jersey, he instead opts for a t-shirt or, gulp, a polo with a team logo! I say it’s time for that guy to grow a pair and wear his Calvin Johnson jersey to the next school function. You know what the other dads will clown on the outside (because that is the expected behavior of Joe Middle-Upper Class) but down deep they will envy that guy’s incredible sack. Whew, I am glad I got that off my chest. Next year, I expect to see every owner in a NFL jersey!

15:09:34 – First pick is on the clock – over/under on how long this takes – 60 seconds (the owner has had 6 months to decide), wow, only 25 seconds, we might be done before seven. Oh yea, the pick – Adrian Peterson!

Logan –”That’s a great pick! He is the only sure thing available since Chris Johnson is keeper”

15:11:04 – I catch a nice little break – Ray Rice going number two – uh, Rice is the second pick, which leaves Maurice Jones-Drew falling to me. I actually had come around on Ray Rice leading up to the draft but I think MJD is as sure of a thing not named Adrian Peterson or Chris Johnson. Plus, I MJD plays fantasy football and he drafted himself #1, you have to like that!

15:13:27 – Yikes, Peyton Manning goes number 4 and Tom Brady follows at number 6. Then Brees at number 8. Are the days of a must draft a running back first over? There is no way we would see three quarterbacks go in the first round in the days before the Gary Kubiak’s and Bill Belichick’s started rotating running backs on a weekly basis.

15:15:11 – This draft is moving quickly, of course until we run into the “accident on the freeway” back at the end of the second round. The end of the first round another quarterback is taken – Phillip Rivers welcome to the first round. For those scoring at home – 7 non RB (4 QB and 3 WR) and 7 RB in the first round.

15:16:42 – Steven Jackson is taken with the first pick in the second round, drawing the comment “that’s good value right there”, expect a visit from Logan and call from “Mr. Johnson” to collect the royalty. But yea, S-Jax is a good value at 15, because he is one of the few starting running backs not competing for carries. But on the downside his offensive line is horrible, he has a rookie quarterback and cannot stay healthy.

15:22:15 – I went to my fantasy draft and a cage fight broke out – or at least we seem to be getting closer to the first draft fight in my 13 years in the league. There are very few things that I would consider fightable offenses but keeping a quarterback with your 6th round pick and then drafting a quarterback with your 2nd round pick is one of them. I had trouble hearing the entire exchange but it went a little something like this:

PO’d owner – “Nice pick, dumbass, why did you keep Cutler?”

Moron Owner – “Stop busting balls!”

Po’d owner – “I would if you had any balls!”

15:25:22 – Sweeeeet, I just picked up Greg Jennings, who I BOLDly predict will score 15 touchdowns this year. Plus, with Rodgers I have the chance to have “one of those” games where I murder my opponent by halftime of the early games.

15:31:07 – OK, we are waiting on Sidewinders for the first of back-to-back picks; He has a perplexed look on his face as he stares at his draft sheet, almost as though he accidentally printed it in  font and he is trying to translate. The most bizarre thing is that it takes Sidewinders the full allotment of time for each of the back-to-back pick. I wonder if he lives his life like he drafts – hmmm, I have the perfect time killer while we wait:

Sidewinders as an ER doctor:

Nurse – “Doctor, the patient has a gunshot wound to the lower abdomen and is bleeding profusely”

Sidewinders – “Good work and while I agree, I think we should perform a colonoscopy first, just so we can rule that out.”

Whew, Larry Fitzgerald and Steve Smith of the Giants are the picks.

Logan – “That is really funny, busting on some owner who takes this seriously. May Steve Smith and Larry Fitzgerald have unconscious games against you!”

15:34:35 – I am feeling exceptional about my team after four picks – Aaron Rodgers, Dallas Clark, MJD and Greg Jennings. Those four will be tough to top on a weekly basis – I just need to keep it together the rest of the way and I should be in decent shape to have a shot at repeating, which is tough to do in a 14 team league.

Jay – “You have officially crossed over to Packer Nation! My suggestion would be to draft Driver and the Packers defense to complement your team”.

15:47:20 – Wow, Ahmad Bradshaw with the second pick in the 4th, you see my point about fantasy being over-blown. I think someone from ESPN made these suggestions so I cannot claim them – but all paid fantasy analysis should be required to: 1. give a few bits of mis-information just to keep people off balance; 2. Never tag a player as a sleeper or bust, once done so the player is no longer a sleeper nor a bust;

16:12:20 – Break time – one of my boys just came over to the Champs table and commented that “Right now, you have the best team”. I have a fully swollen head now, but I think all fantasy players agree that they have an unhealthy relationship with their fantasy team. I love winning, but mostly I like feeling like I’ve made the right call on a player. My guess is almost every fantasy player feels the same way.

Curtis – “Dude, how is it possible that Linda Lavin is pulling a double shift? She is still here! My participation in this running log is solely based on some cute servers and I get THIS!”

Me – “This is a fantasy draft not a strip club, ease up. This is about the league getting together and competing.”

16:22:40 – My oh my, something very amusing just took place – Visanthe Sciancoe was just drafted which prompted the guy running the draft to comment, “Hey , you want to see something funny, look up Shiancoe exposed locker room on the internet. It was so funny”. To which DA BOYZ commented, “Was it funny or exhilarating?” I have to agree, of all the funny things I would like to search for on the internet “Shiancoe exposed in locker room” is like 109,875 on the list.

Jay – “Finley is like twice as BIG as Shiancoe!”

Me – “I have officially gone into flatline mode for the remainder of the draft!”

16:30:14 – Greg Olsen goes before Chris Cooley! Come on, Mike Martz hates throwing to the TE, of course, he also thinks protecting the quarterback is over-rated. Sweet, in four more picks Cooley will join my team and team with Antonio Gates to become FFDTTE (Fearsome Foursome Dominate Twin Tight Ends). Ugh, some other owner just took Cooley before I could get him.

16:32:04 – The MC just called someone a twat which drew response filled with vitriol from our female competitors. The MC pointed out that earlier they were talking about a certain players “kickstand” (Shiancoe again?). It is getting silly in here.

16:35:24 – Waiting on Sidewinders again. How about Sidewinders as a fireman?

Fireman #1 – “Sir, if we don’t get this fire contained it is going spread and take down this entire block”

Sidewinders – “That is true, time is of the essence, but instead of using the tried and true method of attaching the hose to the hydrant, I am going to go with the new quick release method. I am going to go grab the manual, be right back.”

16:40:41 – I just took Mike Williams, the Bucs rookie WR, in the 9th round. More proof about main-stream fantasy going too far – from 1995-2001 Mike Williams would have been un-drafted, from 2001 through the 2010 post NFL Draft he would have been a later round flier. By the time one of the paid fantasy analysis starts pumping him up, he gets drafted in the 9th round.

16:55:37 – The 9th round is complete and it was by far the most interesting with five corpses getting drafted – Fred Taylor, Kevin Smith, Laurence Maroney, Willis McGahee and Braylon Edwards.

Logan – “Every draft has this period where it’s too early for the sleepers, defenses and kickers; teams start drafting familiarity during this period, even if none of those familiar players will do much.”

Me – “Where else are you going to get such insightful fantasy information? Only about 1,000,000 websites. Nonetheless, thanks Logan.”

17:05:15 – Wow, it is really starting to drag and the attention span of the owners seems to be somewhere between that of a child with ADD and Wade Phillips at a morning team meeting with ribs on the menu for lunch. Example, my buddy just said “These people are crazy”. I nodded, like yea I know I can’t believe how long this draft takes. Then he told me this, “Someone is trying to sell a 1977 F-0150 for $5000 on CraigsList”

Logan – “Where is Jay?”

Me- “I think the Tabasco laced cheese fries got to him.”

17:24:18 – Another Sidewinders waiting period which means it’s time for another “Sidewinders as a”, this time Sidewinders as a bank teller:

Customer – “I need to withdrawl $600.”

Sidewinders – “I need to see two forms of id.”

Customer – “Here you go. I am in a bit of a hurry as well.”

Sidewinders – “I understand. How would you like your money back? All twenties, hundreds, fifties, the possible combinations are endless”

Customer – “I will take all. . .”

Sidewinders – “You could go with a combination of hundreds, fifties and twenties. Or if you are a frequent patron of gentlemans club you might want to go all fives and singles. It is up to you though.”

Customer – “I really need to get going, I will take it all in . . .”

Sidewinders – ‘You know what I would do – get a single one hundred dollar bill, and then mix in fives, tens and twenties for the rest. Then it will look like you have a huge wad of cash.”

Customer – “Listen, pal you’re wasting my time, just give me 6 hundreds.”

Sidewinders – “OK, let me get my sticky grease for my fingers. OK, that’s one. . . two . . . three . . .”

17:24:34 – The picks – Laurent Robinson and Eagles defense. Which reminds me of one of my favorite stories that almost happened – way back, at least 12 years ago, I took a little extra time to make a pick. I think it was Mark Carrier, wide receiver from Carolina, anyway I got some flack from one of the owners, “It took that long for Mark Carrier”. Now that is the true part of the story, the part that almost happened was my response, “Yea, I know but it was a tough choice between Carrier and your mother, then I realized that your mother is worthless so I went with Carrier.” I decided against the comment because we didn’t extra fantasy points for connecting with a right cross.

17:41:06 – I just plowed through my second meal of the day, this time a pulled pork sandwich. DA BOYZ commented on how I ate it like I was in prison and afraid someone was going to take it away from me. Further proof that this draft is as mundane as a watching Synchronized Swimming – we just spent the last 10 minutes debating whether or not the pork sandwich was pulled or sliced. Pulled, as DA BOYZ put it, should have a loose or stringy texture, this was chunky. I argued that we couldn’t call it sliced because sliced should be long, thin pieces of meat not cubes or chunks. Finally, we settled a Pork Stew Sandwich.

17:50:39 – The run on kickers just started – in the 13th round! Predicting the top fantasy kicker is a tough proposition – and even if you attempt to select a kicker from a great offense there is no guarantee that he will do anything other than kick extra points, at the best. At the worst, your 13th round kicker will be coaching women’s soccer by week four.

17:56:50 – More Craig’s List fun from the DA BOYZ – some guy wants to trade a 1948 jeep for artificial grass – I tell him the guy giving the artificial grass is getting reamed and to even out the deal, the guy with the Jeep needs to throw in an 8-track player and a disco ball. This is keeping this draft interesting – how did we ever cope before wireless internet.

18:19:06 – Winding down, time for the last “Sidewinders as a” entry. This time it is Sidewinders as a porn star, uh well, since this is a family show use your imagination. By the way there have been an amazing number of kickers selected over 1.5 per team.

18:27:23 – Last pick waiting on guess who? Sammie Stroughter is the lucky player. Quick question how many NFL greats have been named Sammy? Sam Huff and Sammie Baugh. Odds are against Mr. Stroughter.

All in all good drafts in a fairly reasonable amount of time, have a great fantasy season!

 

“Fantasy Fours” – Week 4 Edition

Week four of the “Fantasy Fours”, as a reminder here are my target percentages – Fantasy Gold = .300, Fantasy Diamonds = .500 and Fantasy Steel = .500.

A review of week three:

Fantasy Gold Division (Top 4 within position):

Hits: Drew Brees (#2), Peyton Manning (#4), Adrian Peterson (#1), Chris Johnson (#3), Antonio Gates (#3), Pittsburgh (#3)

Misses: Kyle Orton (#9), Joe Flacco (#9), Frank Gore (#9), Ray Rice (#20), Roddy White (#16), Greg Jennings (#39), Reggie Wayne (#43), Mile Austin (#82), Jermichael Finley (#5), Vernon Davis (#29), Dallas Clark (#20), NY Jets (#19), Baltimore (#18) and Miami (#31)

Overall: 6-14 or .300, I will take the 6 hits, but there are some bad misses in the WR and defense positions, I need to shore that up, like the Giants pass defense.

Season: 12-28 (.300)

Fantasy Diamonds (under the radar – top 12 at QB/TE/DT, top 24 at RB/WR):

Hits: BenJarvus Green-Ellis (#10), Marion Barber (#17), Mike Tolbert (#24), Johnny Knox (#24), Jeremy Shockey (#4), John Carlson (#8), Zach Miller (#9), Cincinnati (#4), Minnesota (#8),

Misses: Matt Ryan (#13), Ryan Fitzpatrick (#15), Alex Smith (#23), Brett Favre (#27), Willis McGahee (#55), Derrick Mason (#65), Greg Camarillo (#86), Mike Thomas (#92), Martellus Bennett (#26), Washington (#20), San Francisco (#32, but hey I only missed on them for a week, many, many, fantasy owners were dancing a jig when the drafted the 49ers after the elite defenses went!)

Overall: 9-11 or .450, – Not quite my target, but getting closer. It’s a tougher than I thought to call a guy currently out of the top 12 in the top 12 for a week.

Season: 16-24 (.400)

Fantasy Steel (out of the top 12 for QB/TE/DT, top 24 for RB/WR):

Hits: Eli Manning (#18), Matt Hasselbeck (#22), Matt Schuab (#25), Josh Freeman (#33), Matt Forte (#44), Jahvid Best (#47), Mark Clayton (#25), Kevin Walter (#27), Mike Williams (#47), Steve Smith (#76), Kellen Winslow (#28), Marcedes Lewis (#31), Green Bay (#15), Atlanta (#16), New Orleans (#22)

Misses: Darren McFadden (#8), Jamaal Charles (#12), Dustin Keller (#1, Yikes!), Tony Moeaki (#11), Chicago (#7)

Overall: 15-5 or .750. Listen for my radio promo – “Who told you to bench Matt Schuab? And who said that Steve Smith would be the third best receiver – on his team? Who told you that you would be a fantasy winner if you bench the Packers, Falcons and Saints? I did! Call right now to get more great advice at our lowest price of the season, 1-888-FANTASYEXPERT!”

Season: 26-14 (.650)

Week four “Fantasy Fours”:

Fantasy Gold

Quarterbacks:

  • Aaron Rodgers – Rodgers has a cannon arm, quite possibly the strongest arm in the NFL and certainly he is the strongest armed quarterback in Green Bay Packers history. He gets the Lions this week which is like Brussel Sprout Candy!
  • Peyton Manning – Peyton gets the Jaguars this week – translation fantasy goodness!
  • Phillip Rivers – If I was an offensive coordinator facing the Cardinals, I would attack Rodgers-Cromartie the way NaOnka attacked the one-leg Kelly B on Survivor this week to retrieve the immunity clue. DRC thinks he is Deion “Prime-Time” Sander, which is partly true since he cannot tackle but unfortunately he cannot cover either, so from this day forward DRC is officially known as “Pantomine-Time” (copyright Caveman Enterprises Inc.)
  • Tom Brady – Did you see what Mark Sanchez did to the Dolphins? Plus, the Patriots defense is not good meaning this game will be a shootout and Brady will be throwing early and often.

Running Backs:

  • Arian Foster – Flash back to week 1 when Foster went all crazy.
  • Chris Johnson – It’s Chris Johnson against the Broncos; CJ breaks off a 50+ yard run this week.
  • Ronnie Brown – Think about to two years ago and a certain four touchdown performance by Brown against Patriots.
  • Michael Turner – The Chiefs ran for a little over 200 yards against the 49ers last week, Turner is good for at least 130 and 2 TDs.

Wide Receivers:

  • Brandon Marshall – Ryan Fitzpatrick and Steve Johnson looked like the second coming of Jim Kelly and Andre Reed last week. That isn’t because of Fitz or Johnson, it’s the Pats defense. In fact the only team Carson Palmer looked decent against this season was the Pats.
  • Reggie Wayne – Memo to Peyton Manning, Reggie needs the ball this week!
  • Roddy White – The 49ers managed to resuscitate Dwayne Bowe’s season, Rowdy Roddy White will go nuts.
  • Steve Smith – The Giants version. The Bears seem content to take away deep balls, give up short stuff and hope teams make a mistake during the 18 play drive. So far it has worked but expect Smith to catch roughly 24 balls.

 

Tight Ends

  • Dallas Clark – Clark was very disappointing last week, but this guy is a moderate amount of Jaguar offensive resistance away from a 12-100-1 game.
  • Vernon Davis – The guy responsible for ruining the 49ers offense, Jimmy Raye, is now gone which means that Vernon Davis can return to being a top 4 tight end.
  • Antonio Gates – It’s all about statistics – the Chargers will score five touchdowns. What are the odds Gates gets at least 1 of those? 99 percent! How about 2? 80 percent! Good enough for me.
  • Jermichael Finley – Uncoverable!

Defense

  • Pittsburgh – The best defense in the league.
  • New York Jets – Play the Bills and Ryan Fitzpatrick.
  • Tennessee – Somewhat risky given that Kyle Orton and the mighty Broncos passing game could roll up some big yards, however, the Broncos and Orton have become the consummate betweens twenties team.
  • San Diego – The “Whale Vagina” (translation courtesy of Ron Burgandy) gets Derek Anderson and a coach who refuses to give his best running back the ball 20 times a game.

Fantasy Diamonds

Quarterbacks:

  • Chad Henne – Carved up the Jets last week, imagine what he can do to a defense that is the equivalent Jets scout team.
  • Alex Smith – I would advise buying low (or lower, lowest) on Alex, I think the coordinator change will make a huge difference.
  • Matt Hasselbeck – This might be the last week I can use the “plays the Rams” as the Rams are actually playing decent football.
  • Sam Bradford – Sam is going to be pumped up by the Sooners wrecking ball demolition of the Longhorns.

Running Backs:

  • Maurice Jones-Drew – If MJD doesn’t produce this week I am going to tweet him the following: “Hey, I know you drafted yourself #1 and I have a quick question – are we at the point where we need to sell you for pennies on the dollar? You simply are not producing!”
  • Justin Forsett – It is going to take some time for Pete Carroll to realize that he doesn’t have to play every running back an equal amount of time simply because he promised the kids parents he would during the recruiting period.
  • Ryan Mathews – Best 5, Mathews 0. This week Mathews begins to close the gap.
  • Shonn Greene – I predict at least one long touchdown run from Greene this week.

Wide Receivers:

  • Mike Sims-Walker– My hunch play of the week.
  • Jacoby Jones – Nnamdi Asomugha will be on Andre Johnson, which should give Jones a ton of looks.
  • Legedu Naanee – I like Naanee simply because the Cardinals shutdown corner, Rodgers-Cromartie will most likely be on Malcom Floyd, which means that the Chargers will ignore Floyd since Norv Turner is always about a month behind the times.
  • Marques Colston – It’s funny that the Saints offensive personnel compile the highest combined fantasy numbers of virtually team in the NFL but they only have one every week starter – Drew Brees. This is Colston’s week to have an 8-110-2 type of game.

 

Tight Ends:

  • John Carlson –Carlson is still outside the top 12; easy money for me.
  • Zach Miller – See John Carlson.
  • Kevin Boss– The Bossman is da house. Look for the Giants to rebound this week with several nice individual fantasy numbers.
  • Ben Watson – Doesn’t feel like Ben Watson could have an Antonio Gates type of impact on the league? You have to wonder if he would have fulfilled that promise if not for a coach (Belichick) who didn’t attempt to minimize individual performance.

Defense

  • Indianapolis – Ryan Leaf has taken over David Garrard’s body and is now leading (?) the Jaguars. I know I have MSW and MJD as top performers this week, but somehow the Colts defense will surprise, plus there are only 28 teams playing this week, so humor me.
  • New Orleans – I am riding the Jimmy Clausen train until they kick me off.
  • Cleveland – So if the Browns defense does not drop any potential interceptions, they should get at least four picks off “The Corpse” (Carson Palmer).
  • NY Giants – The “Winston Wolf” pop-cycle fest going on in Chicago is ludicrous, the Packers could’ve had roughly 16 interceptions last week – 8 were nullified by penalty and 8 were dropped.

Fantasy Steel

Quarterbacks:

  • Mark Sanchez – The great Bills pass defense will rear its ugly head again this week.
  • Matt Schuab – I have to believe the Texans will pound Arian Foster at the Raiders the way Andy Reid pounds Philly Cheese Steaks.
  • Michael Vick – Ok so Vick is killing it so far, but let’s remember he has played against the Lions and Jaguars. What’s that old Winston Wolf saying?
  • Jay Cutler – I am just not a believer in the Bears, Cutler or deep dish pizza!

Running Backs:

  • Jahvid Best – Get used to seeing Best in this position.
  • Matt Forte –Get used to seeing Forte in this position.
  • Ray Rice – Banged up and facing the Steelers. Yikes!
  • Cedric Benson –The best 0-3 team in the NFL is the Browns and this week they take out their frustration on the Bengals.

Wide Receivers:

  • Andre Johnson – Nnamdi!
  • Anquan Boldin – Steelers!
  • OchoCinco– Carson Palmer! After this game, Ocho and TO are completing putting Palmer out of his misery with a Tonya Harding type of attack.
  • Mike Wallace – Too easy – Chaz Batch and the Ravens spell doom for Wallace.

 

Tight Ends

  • Dustin Keller – Come on, Keller is the number #2 TE so far this year, that simply will not last.
  • Tony Gonzalez – So it appears as though the Falcons threw Gonzo a bone last week, don’t expect it again this week.
  • Greg Olsen – Man, I hate being wrong. Looks like my prediction of Olsen having more carries than touchdowns this season is going to be way off. That sucks!
  • Jeremey Shockey – Call me crazy but I think the Panthers show up this week!

Defense

  • Miami – Uh, its Tom Brady and the high scoring Patriots.
  • Chicago – The Giants will attack the Bears soft cover 2 deep down the seams, unlike the Packers.
  • Philadelphia – If McNabb has anything left in the tank, it comes out this week.
  • Atlanta – Hangover game.

“Fantasy Fours” – Week 3

Before I get to the week three edition of “Fantasy Fours” let’s take a look back at how the “master of fantasy football” did in week two. My target percentages – Fantasy Gold = .300, Fantasy Diamonds = .500 and Fantasy Steel = .500.

Fantasy Gold Division (Top 4 within position):

Hits: Aaron Rodgers (#2), Matt Schuab (#1), Phillip Rivers (#4), Frank Gore (#4), Andre Johnson (#1), Antonio Gates (#2)

Misses: Tony Romo (#14), Michael Turner (#35; Jason Snelling finished #2), DeAngelo Williams (ugh, #29), Steven Jackson (#14), Steve Smith (#59; Manningham’s week), Roddy White (#9), Miles Austin (#6), Jermichael Finley (#8), Vernon Davis (#9), Jason Witten (#16), Green Bay (#6), Philadelphia (#27), Atlanta (#7) and Dallas (#18)

Overall: 6-14 or .300, even for an advanced fantasy mind like mine, calling the top 4 at each position at a 30% of time is very impressive! Thank you very much!

Fantasy Diamonds (under the radar – top 12 at QB/TE/DT, top 24 at RB/WR):

Hits: Mike Vick(#8), Kyle Orton (#11), LeSean McCoy (#3), Eddie Royal (#17), Chris Cooley (#6), Kansas City (#10), Oakland (#11),

Misses: Jason Campbell (#32), Matt Cassel (#29), John Kuhn (#49, but the carries were virtual split between him and Jackson), Carnell Williams (#41), Felix Jones (#47), Jeremy Maclin (#37), Derrick Mason (#40), Devin Aromashodu (#100, which coincidental was tied with your truly), Jermaine Gresham (#28), John Carlson (#18), Zach Miller (#19), Minnesota (#13), Carolina (#26)

Overall: 7-13 or .350, horrid – I will do much better this week.

Fantasy Steel (out of the top 12 for QB/TE/DT, top 24 for RB/WR):

Hits: Tom Brady (#16), Cedric Benson (#33), Rashard Mendenhall (#36), Chris Johnson (#37), Randy Moss (#29), Hakeem Nicks (#30), Lee Evans (#100), Brent Celek (#24), Owen Daniels (#29), Chicago (#20), Washington (#24)

Misses: Jay Cutler (#3), Donovan McNabb (#10), Drew Brees (#12), Brandon Jackson (#23), DeSean Jackson (#3, whoops), Mercedes Lewis (#11), Kellen Winslow (#10), Miami (#3), Cincinnati (#8)

Overall: 11-9 or .550.

Week three “Fantasy Fours”:

Fantasy Gold

Quarterbacks:

  • Kyle Orton – The Broncos are a passing team this season, Moreno is out and the Colts put will put up plenty of points; translation the Broncos will be throwing a lot.
  • Peyton Manning – Champ Bailey might not play and even if he does, he will not be 100%; that has Peyton drowning in a pool of his own drool.
  • Drew Brees – The Saints are going to need to run a full offense this week to get by the Falcons.
  • Joe Flacco – Has faced the ultra tough Jets and a better than average Bengals, the Browns will seem like the 7-on-7 passing league.

Running Backs:

  • Chris Johnson – Check your opponents lineup, if Chris Johnson is in it, pencil in a loss.
  • Ray Rice – This week is the return of the Ray Rice.
  • Frank Gore – Frank Gores the Chiefs.
  • Adrian Peterson – Four times AP was stopped inside the five last week – imagine how good AP would be with a mildly incompetent head coach, as opposed the utterly incompetent that is currently coaching them.

Wide Receivers:

  • Miles Austin – The Texans are giving up over 400 yards a game passing and have I mentioned that Austin is un-coverable.
  • Reggie Wayne – No Pierre Garcon (GAR-CON, no squiggly for Pierre until he starts performing) and no Champ Bailey.
  • Greg Jennings – I can see an 8-150-2 against the Bears corners, in fact the only thing holding Jennings back is the weapons the Packers possess.
  • Roddy White – When you take a deep look at the Falcons receiving situation one quickly realizes Roddy is all they have.

 

Tight Ends

  • Dallas Clark – The better question would be – Will Clark finish a week out of the top 4 this season? Yes, during his bye week.
  • Vernon Davis – I think I was wrong about this guy but you still have to wonder why a team with so many weapons on offense struggles so much. Could it be coaching? I am looking at you Jimmy Raye.
  • Antonio Gates – See Dallas Clark.
  • Jermichael Finley – I am no coach, but for the purpose of this column I will play one – but if I had a Finley on my roster, I would split him out every time I was inside the 10. Cornerbacks cannot cover him in a one-on-one situation and if the opposing defense rolls a safety, then it opens up another match-up; win-win! The facts – the Packers have run 15 plays inside the 10 this season and only two of them have had Finley split wide, both times he was singled up against a corner. Perplexing!

Defense

  • Pittsburgh – Fourth highest scoring fantasy player last week and that was against the Chris Johnson led Titans.
  • New York Jets – This might be a 3-0, two hour game.
  • Miami – See New York Jets, both teams offensively will play this close to the vest.
  • Baltimore – My prediction for the Browns offense this weekend, in the words of Clubber Lang, “Pain!” (Can you imagine a 21st century movie trying to pass off a key character with the name “Clubber Lang”? Clubber, really? It’s almost like they forgot to name the character until right before production and then Sly, feeling the pressure, spewed the following – Slugger, Puncher, Jabber, Basher or Clubber.)

Fantasy Diamonds

Quarterbacks:

  • Brett Favre – I am green with envy – I don’t how many times growing I wished my grandpa was an active NFL player, hell I could barely get my gramps to throw the frisbee around with me. And even then I would have to run and pick the frisbee off ground every time he dropped it or couldn’t move a couple of steps (think Braylon Edwards type of hands and Kurt Warner type of mobility). Take a peek at the Vikes schedule, 1-6 is very likely, if they can beat the Lions.
  • Matt Ryan – I am predicting a shoot-out in this game, so maybe, just maybe, we will see the “corpse”, aka, Tony Gonzalez do something more keep his “games with a catch” streak alive.
  • Alex Smith – Count me in the crowd that thinks the Chiefs are the worst 2-0 in NFL history.
  • Ryan Fitzpatrick – How bad do you have to be on defense (Pats) to make Mark Sanchez look like pro bowl quarterback?

Running Backs:

  • Mike Tolbert – Mike Tolbert was this week’s Brandon Jackson, drawing ridiculous bids in leagues that use FAAB, however, unlike Jackson, Tolbert will be productive.
  • BenJarvus Green-Eliis – With Faulk and Maroney out of the picture, the Patriots have Fred Taylor and Green-Ellis. When a guy is known as “Fragile Fred” in his early 20s, he doesn’t all of sudden become durable in his 30s.
  • Marion Barber – OK, so even though the Texans have a decent run defense and couldn’t stop the Air Force Falcons from throwing for 300 yards, my guess is the Cowboys will run the ball over 60% of the time this weekend. If the Cowboys did intelligent things, they wouldn’t be the Cowboys!
  • Willis McGahee – I guarantee McGahee gets at least one touchdown this week. My guess is he gets plenty of garbage, blowout carries and ends something along the lines of 16-90-2

Wide Receivers:

  • Johnny Knox – After the mind-numbing Sunday night game, the NFL will need a good, old-fashioned AFL-type shootout to keep ratings up.
  • Derrick Mason – There are plenty of fantasy points to be had against the Browns.
  • Greg Camarillo – Favre and Camarillo have developed some chemistry.
  • Mike Thomas –It is a matter of time before Thomas is considered, in fantasy circles, the number #1 receiver on the Jaguars.

 

Tight Ends:

  • Jeremy Shockey – Losing Reggie Bush really hurts the Saints offense. All those fancy screens will now have to go un-called until Bush returns; meanwhile, the Saints can start throwing to the TE and WRs.
  • Zach Miller – Risky, since the Cardinals shut down Tony Gonzalez last week, of course that would have meant a lot more if Gonzalez was still alive.
  • John Carlson – Matt Hasselbeck targeted Carlson 10 times last week, two of the misses would have been either a long gain or touchdown if accurate.
  • Martellus Bennett – Just a hunch, but I think Witten is limited.

Defense

  • Washington – No brainer – Rams opponent.
  • Cincinnati – Jimmy Clausen’s first start.
  • Minnesota – Big day if they can find a way to contain Jahvid Best. Yea, that is sarcasm!
  • San Francisco – The 9ers run defense is good enough to force the Chiefs to throw, which will be a real problem for the Chiefs since they don’t have a quarterback who can throw

Fantasy Steel

Quarterbacks:

  • Eli Manning – The Titans have shut down Jason Campbell and Dennis Dixon. Wait those guys suck! Nonetheless, I don’t like Eli this weekend and if you start him, you will get a steel-toed kick to the nuts.
  • Matt Schuab – You want a ballsy pick, here is a ballsy pick. I am taking a chance that the Texans will try to run the football, a la week one, because they lost a starting offensive linemen and are facing a desperate Cowboy team trying to save their beloved, albeit soft and husky, head coach.
  • Josh Freeman – I give you a Schuab, I take a Freeman, who is currently a top 12 quarterback, but I would not advise starting against the Steelers.
  • Matt Hasselbeck – Well, the column is titled “Fantasy Fours”, not threes, twos or solo, so I have to find a fourth and it was between Hasselbeck and Brady. Brady plays against that ultra tough (sarcasm) Bills pass defense, but with Hasselbeck I always have a chance that his back acts up or he leaves with another injury.

Running Backs:

  • Jahvid Best – Five TDs in two weeks for this fantasy phenom. My (free) advice to fantasy owners – sell high!
  • Darren McFadden – Michael Bush is back and while that will not cut into McFadden’s workload immediately, D-Mac is still injury prone and he has already logged a career high in carries after two weeks – he’s tired!
  • Jamaal Charles – I mentioned the 49ers will be good enough against the run to force Matt Cassel to throw, Charles will be the victim.
  • Matt Forte –See Jahvid Best.

Wide Receivers:

  • Mike Williams – The Steelers are so good on defense that there might be one guy on each of their opponent that will have a decent game, but good luck guessing who it will be.
  • Steve Smith – Hey, I could just use Steve Smith and Mike Williams every week in one of the sections and it would give me a 1 and 1A entry. I am sure that Steve has been in Jimmy’s ear all week about how he needs to get him the ball, but Jimmy will quickly learn that the NFL is totally different game than playing the service academies.
  • Kevin Walter – Currently the #6 overall WR, look for that to drop faster than Obama’s approval rating.
  • Mark Clayton – Has been very impressive, but #10 overall, come on.

 

Tight Ends

  • Marcedes Lewis –MARcedes will be here each and every week until he finally realizes he is not a fantasy option. MARcedes is stubborn, however!
  • Tony Moeaki – I realize that because Matt Cassell does not possess the arm strength or accuracy to throw the ball to his wideouts on the outside, Moeaki is really his only target, but Moeaki is no longer an unknown scrub from some over-rated Big 10 (note to Big-10 schools – enjoy the last year of having a chance to win the Big-10) school, he is now the drawing some focus from defensive coordinators.
  • Dustin Keller – Count me among the group that does not believe in the Sanchise.
  • Kellen Winslow – Pittsburgh is notorious for their defense against opposing TEs.

Defense

  • Chicago – It is safe to assume that I like the over in the Bears/Packers game.
  • Green Bay – It is safe to assume that I like the over in the Packers/Bears game.
  • Atlanta – It is safe to assume that I like the over in the Falcons/Saints game.
  • New Orleans – It is safe to assume that I like the over in the Saints/Falcons game.

“Fantasy Fours” – Week 02

“Fantasy Fours” is my weekly feature that list four fantasy players for each position in three different groups – Gold, Diamond and Steel. The Gold group is reserved for top four performers of the week as projected by FFG (Fantasy Football Guru). The Diamond, “in the rough”, group is reserved for those players under the radar who will, in my expert opinion, will be in the top 15 at their position for the coming weekend. The Steel, as in “Steel-Toe kick to the nuts”, is for those players who normally would be every week starters but will significantly under-perform and thus deliver a swift, forceful kick to the family jewels.

Fantasy Gold

Quarterbacks:

  • Aaron Rodgers – I know, who knew? But this is a “Rodgers goes all Arian Foster” prediction.
  • Tony Romo – Yes, the offensive is a huge question mark, but with an un-coverable Miles Austin and a developing Dez Bryant, Romo is primed to have a big game this week against the Bears.
  • Matt Schuab – My prediction is that fantasy Satan Gary Kubiak will switch things up this week and throw the ball 50 times. That and the fact that Arian Foster is now the focus of the every defensive coordinator in the NFL.
  • Phillip Rivers – In between screaming at his offensive lineman and dressing down his receivers, Phillip put up a nice game in horrific conditions. This week Rivers gets perfect weather, the home crowd and a Jaguar team that consistently plays poorly on the west coast.

Running Backs:

  • Frank Gore – Though a risky pick against the Saints, expect a huge bounce-back game from Gore and the 49ers.
  • Michael Turner – Very simple – the Cardinals defense is not the Pittsburgh Steelers.
  • DeAngelo Williams – Tampa Bay is the perfect tonic for the ailing Williams’ fantasy stats
  • Steven Jackson – The “good” matchups are few and far between for Jackson – this is one of them.

Wide Receivers:

  • Miles Austin – This guy reminds me of Steve Smith circa the 2005 playoffs, when he was literally un-coverable. Austin is there.
  • Andre Johnson – Most wide receivers are divas, so you have to keep them happy by throwing them the rock.
  • Steve Smith (NYG) – I believe that we are going to see a weekly round robin of a different Giant receiver going off– this week it’s Smith turn.
  • Roddy White – 21 targets!

 

Tight Ends

  • Jermichael Finley – This guy is pretty much Antonio Gates on steroids.
  • Vernon Davis – OK, I so I was little down on VD in the pre-season. But who isn’t? Does anyone really want VD?
  • Antonio Gates – This guy is pretty much Antonio Gates.
  • Jason Witten – There will be plenty of touchdowns to go around for the Cowboys.

Kickers, pluheeze!

Defense

  • Green Bay – They play the Bills!
  • Philadelphia – Shaun Hill is starting against them.
  • Atlanta – Derek Anderson is starting against them.
  • Dallas – Its Jay Cutler and Mike Martz – sacks and interceptions for everyone.

Fantasy Diamonds

Quarterbacks:

  • Mike Vick – Vick looked great in relief of Kolb last week.
  • Matt Cassell – Very risky considered this guy looked completely lost last week and I have to question whether or not he is truly an NFL quarterback. If he cannot muster triple digits passing this week against the Browns, the answer is an emphatic NO he is not.
  • Jason Campbell – Plays the Rams!
  • Kyle Orton – Prediction – Orton will become an every week “must start” by week 6.

Running Backs:

  • Felix Jones – Yep, I love me some of the Cowboys this weekend.
  • John Kuhn – Huge stretch here and it would take coconut size cajones to even have Kuhn on occupying a roster spot, but I have sneaky suspicion that Kuhn will get the plenty of goal-line activity and a fair number of carries this week.
  • LeSean McCoy – See Matt Forte, week 1.
  • Carnell Williams – The Caddy looked good in week one, of course we have to start the countdown to his season-ender.

Wide Receivers:

  • Jeremy Maclin –By the end of the year Maclin will be the #1 in Philly.
  • Derrick Mason – Next on “The Raven” – “Escape from Revis Island”!
  • Eddie Royal – The slot receiver the McDaniels system is golden.
  • Devin Aromashodu – Led the Bears in targets and appears to be Jay Cutler’s second favorite receiver (a close second behind the opponent).

 

Tight Ends:

  • Chris Cooley – Colley re-established himself as the clear cut #1 TE in Washington last week.
  • Jermaine Gresham – This guy is a beast
  • John Carlson – See Mercedes Lewis, week 1.
  • Zach Miller – He is really the only receiving threat in Oakland. That and he’s playing against the Rams.

Defense

  • Kansas City – Sneaky good special teams, plus against Delhomme you can pencil in at least two picks, with an outside chance at four or five.
  • Oakland – Pretty much pencil the opponent of the Rams in the position each week
  • Carolina – The Panthers gave up 31 points, but produced a blocked punt, 4 turnovers and a sack, for a decent game.
  • Minnesota – Held the mighty Saints to a mere 14 points.

Fantasy Steel

Quarterbacks:

  • Drew Brees- No way you bench Brees, but don’t come crying to me when he posts a sub-standard number this week. Count the reasons off at least the following – The 49ers will play much better this week; the Saints did not look as explosive in their opener; and Sean Peyton drafted Pierre Thomas in his fantasy league.
  • Tom Brady – No doubt the Jets defense is for real, but they get away with more illegal clutching, grabbing and groping than Ben Roethlisberger at a sorority party.
  • Donovan McNabb – After the game Sunday night, Donovan had trouble getting into his house. Apparently because someone put an end zone in front of it – bada-bing!
  • Jay Cutler – At least three picks.

Running Backs:

  • Cedric Benson – I simply do not like this guy, so much so that this might be his weekly spot.
  • Rashard Mendenhall – Take away the 50 yard TD run in overtime and Rashard was very mediocre last week.
  • Chris Johnson – Again you’re not benching Johnson, but he is going to find the sledding a bit tougher than against the Raiders.
  • Brandon Jackson – Jackson was the hot free agent pick-up this week, so hot that in one of my leagues an owner blew his entire yearly budget on him. Fair enough, I suppose, but it’s not like Brandon is a rookie who just needs a chance. He came into the league at the same time as Ryan Grant (as a higher draft pick), so he has every opportunity to win that job from Grant and could not. He is essentially a reasonable backup but not an every down workhorse. The Packers will either trade for someone or promote a back from the practice squad to form, at best for Jackson, a time split.

Wide Receivers:

  • Hakeem Nicks – See Steve Smith above.
  • Randy Moss – Cue Ricardo Montalban – “Welcome to Revis Island”!
  • DeSean Jackson – I know D-Jax is fast but how can an NFL player have arms that make a can of Pam (the cooking spray, yea, now that fire has been discovered after I club my dinner for the night I always use a light spray of Pam on a rock to cook me some eats) look bulky?
  • Lee Evans – Who?

 

Tight Ends

  • Mercedes Lewis – Over/Under on the number of touchdowns Lewis ends the season with – 2.5, I will take the under.
  • Owen Daniels – Will be much, much better in the second half of the season, but for now they are, rightly, easing him back slowly.
  • Brent Celek – He is going to be the Eagle pass-catcher most negatively affected by the loss of Kolb.
  • Kellen Winslow – Carolina is notorious for their defense against opposing TEs.

Defense

  • Chicago – Da Bears are standing on the tracks and the train is coming.
  • Cincinnati – Baltimore badly wants this game and after playing the Jets this game will seem like practicing in shorts and shoulder pads.
  • Washington – I think Houston is for real and they have a ton of weapons.
  • Miami – The Vikings have had 10 days to get in-sync and there no Buffalo.

 

    
 

 

 

 

Bold Predictions from a Fantasy Football Guru

Granted my primitive mind cannot grasp complex offensive systems nor even understand how a zone blitz works but I do know this when a man wins four fantasy championships in a single season, he will be referred the next year as “FFG” or Fantasy Football Guru. And every piece of communication, whether spoken or written, that flows from him shall be treated as law.

With that in mind I offer the following BOLD predictions regarding the 2010 fantasy football season:

The Over-Achiever Division

  • Greg Jennings will catch at least 15 touchdowns this year. Aaron Rodgers looks primed to put up huge fantasy numbers this year and Jennings will be the primary benefactor.
  • Arian Foster will score 10+ touchdowns and rush for over 1200 yards. This is risky given the fact that Gary Kubiak is fantasy Satan when it comes to running backs, but through all the Slaton fumbles and Ben Tate getting injured, there simply is not another viable option unless Kubiak himself decides to suit up. And the Texans have a guy by the name of Andre Johnson, who requires a fair amount of attention by opposing defensive coordinators.
  • Michael Bush will tote the rock 270+ times for over 1100 yards and score at least 8 TDs in 2010. Another risky pick since at any moment Albert can have a moment of consciousness and command Tom Cable (as his friends call him, “little puppet”) to feed McFadden the ball thirty times. I think the Raiders have it figured out – McFadden is best utilized as a third-down, change of pace type of back not a thirty carry between the tackles guy. And if not, see New Orleans circa 2007 when they tried to make Reggie Bush a featured back. And McFadden is like finesse version of Reggie Bush.
  • Frank Gore will finish the year as a top 3 running back. He plays in a division that struggles stopping the run – which will result in something like 900 yards and 9 TDs in those six games.

    With six games against the Rams, Seahawks and Cardinals expect to see Frank Gore running free in the secondary early and often.

    Frank would only need to muster an average of 75 yards and .8 touchdowns (or 12 fantasy points) in the remaining ten games to end up in the top three. Consider it done.

  • Carson Palmer will throw 30+ touchdowns this year. Yea, I know it’s a run first team and Carson Palmer has resembled a corpse more than an NFL QB over the past two seasons, but you don’t eat 15 million dollars at the receiver position over the last two years (Coles and Bryant), sign TO, draft three pass catchers to hand the ball to Cedric Benson 350 times. And I think the Bengals defense is vastly over-rated and they will be playing catch-up, much like they have for most of the past three decades.
  • Tony Romo will throw 40+ touchdowns this year. FFG Rant Alert (I get it – just about 100% of you could care less about my fantasy team, so every time I mention something specific about my team I will give you a heads up) – I let Romo go in one of my keeper leagues, which I began to regret seconds after I did not re-pick him in the draft (Steve Smith NYG instead, ended up with Brett Favre, UGH!). That was two weeks ago, I now I am almost certain that Romo will challenge Tom Brady’s TD record of 50. It’s a little like Brad Pitt giving up an insanely hot, down to earth, faithful woman in Jennifer Aniston for a crazy chick who will decides daily whether or not to honor a commitment to a relationship in Angeline Jolie. Except without the “other part”.
    End
    FFG Fantasy Rant.
    So, there you have it my shot at reverse jinxing Tony Romo.
  • Not only will Ahmad Bradshaw put up the most fantasy points than any other Giant running back, but he will double that of the next closest Giant running back (Bonus prediction – Brandon Jacobs does not finish second amongst RBs on the G-MEN!). It almost as if Bradshaw caught Tom Coughlin’s eye one day this training camp and Coughlin asked his running back coach, “Hey, who is that #44? He’s good.”

The Under-Achiever Division

  • Larry Fitzgerald will finish outside the top 15 amongst receivers in fantasy points unless you’re in a league where you get points for WR blocking, number of times helicoptered while leaping for an over-thrown pass or receptions get multiplied by a degree of difficulty (like Olympic Diving).

    Here Fitz is attempting the legendary “Triple Lindy”, all while attempting to catch a horribly thrown ball.

    If your league’s scoring system awards points for any of those three items, then trade for Fitz immediately!

  • Calvin Johnson will not be the best fantasy receiver on his own team. That title will belong to Nate Burleson. CJ (yea, we’re tight, well at least until he reads this) is a terrific receiver, but he commands a lot of attention and the Lions have a sneaky amount of offensive talent.
  • Ray Rice will finish outside the top 10 amongst running backs. Another supremely talented offensive player, but how do we resolve the following: 1. Harbaugh has no desire to give Rice the ball at the goal-line; 2. The Ravens added a significant weapon to their arsenal in Anquan Boldin; 3. They brought back Willis McGahee at 3.6 million; and 4. Signed Houshmandzadeh, who needs the ball. Certainly Rice will have a nice season but I do not see him living up to his top 5 draft position.
  • Vernon Davis will be a colossal bust this season finishing as no better than the 15th best tight end in terms of fantasy points. Reasons – Mike Singletary would love to win every game 3-0, therefore, if the 49er defense lives up to its billing, the 49ers will be burning clock and not risking costly turnovers by putting the ball in air; a full season of Michael Crabtree; and it’s Vernon Davis, who has a history of not living up to his pre-season hype.
  • Brandon Marshall will fall outside the top 15 of wide receivers. The Dolphins are “run-first” team; they run roughly 15% of their plays with a running back playing and when they do throw, they like to spread it around.
  • Reggie Wayne will be the third best fantasy receiver on the Colts. Pierre Garcon and Dallas Clark will both have better fantasy seasons than Wayne. I know, Clark is a no-brainer but my hunch is that Garcon will take over as the Colts #1 WR.

The Just Silly Division

  • Sage Rosenfels will throw more touchdowns this year than Brett Favre. Follow the pattern, Year 1 – Favre finds fountain of youth, leads Green Bay to a #2 seed, throws a devastating interception in the NFC championship that ends the Packers hopes of a Super Bowl; in the off-season is un-certain about returning, finally deciding to about the time training camp is over; Year 2 – Looks old, plays crappy, throws a devastating interception that ends Jets season; tells media he is retiring; decides to come back to a different team; And repeat sequence. Guess what? This year is “Year 2″ in that sequence! It is not going to end well for the Vikings or Favre. And this is the Vikings, who already have a tortured fan base that will have to endure a year that begins with them legitimately thinking they can win the Super Bowl and will end with Favre on the bench in week 17. Priceless!
  • Greg Olsen will have as many rushes as he has touchdowns. He’s a tight end, he isn’t supposed to carry the ball! But in the Mike Martz system a tight end will get carries on the “TE reverse” (it never works), no passes thrown his way and yet the tight end is never around to block. Martz, what a genius!
  • Sam Bradford will throw 10 touchdowns in his first five games. In week six, Luis Castillo will come free on Bradford’s blind side and drive his surgically repaired shoulder into the Edwards James FieldTurf. Bradford will never be the same.
  • Legedu Naanee will finish with 75/1000/9 and be the top San Diego wide receiver. Those numbers should also get him in the top 20 among wide receivers in the NFL. Not bad for the 50th WR taken in most drafts.

The Quick Pick Division

  • Thomas Jones over Jamaal Charles - The old dog still has some giddy-up in those old legs.
  • Mike Bell over Lesean McCoy - Bell will get the goal-line carries and at least 30% of the carries
  • Kyle Orton over Jay Cutler – By mid-season Jay Cutler will be checked into an “abused quarterbacks” shelter and will tell Lovie Smith, “Please don’t tell Martz where I’ve gone”
  • Dwayne Bowe over Marques Colston – Way too many options in New Orleans, not so much with the Chiefs.
  • Jeremy Maclin over Mike Wallace – This is less about Maclin and more about the un-believable hype on Mike Wallace, though I do believe that Maclin has chance to be the best fantasy WR on the Eagles.

Super Bowl Goats – Bracketology Part I

When I was young, and seemingly invincible, I wanted desperately to be a sports reporter assigned to cover my choice of game. Each week I would choose a game where either I had a “vested” interest or the simply the Rams game. One game I wish I could have covered was 1990 regular season game between the Detroit Lions and the Minnesota Vikings. This was a “vested” interest game, where the Vikings were favored by seven points. Needless to mention, the Vikings played like crap eventually losing to the Lions by seven. I remember two plays that were particularly damaging, both involving super human Herschel Walker. The first was a critical fumble and the second was a dropped swing pass on fourth down (swing passes are by far the easiest pass to catch) that swung a wave of irrevocable momentum toward the Lions.

Now had I been covering the game, I would have ran immediately to Herschel Walker’s locker and stoically asked him, “Herschel, tell me about that fum[BAM]” (the BAM is the microphone hitting the ground). I quickly reach down to pick up the mic and begin to speak again, “Sorry, I have fumble fingers today. Anyway, what about that key fourth down pass you dro[BAM]” (again the mic hits the ground). Now you understand the “seemingly invincible” comment, since a reporter who pulled this stunt, might be able to do it twice before ending up in coma form a severe beating.

Anyway, that day Herschel was the biggest goat in the history of sports, at least to me and my “vested” interest partner. I have always been fascinated by “the goat”, as it relates to a player who does something that costs his team a game or AKA choke-artists, coming up small, crapping the bed, crapping your pants, spitting the bit, I think you get the picture. The bigger the stage the bigger the goat and there is no bigger stage than the Super Bowl. For every Joe Montana, there is a Thurman Thomas, a player who robbed his team and fan base of Super Bowl glory.

Over the 44 Super Bowls there have been dozens of goats. And what better way to (dis) honor these select individuals than with a “top” list, March Madness style. Complete with bracketology, “Selection Sunday”, first/second round and sweet sixteen columns. Once we get to the Elite Eight, I will let my loyal readers (all five of you!) decide who advances to ultimately become “The Biggest Goat in Super Bowl history”.

After compiling my full list of Super Goats, I figured it wouldn’t be March Madness if I didn’t have conferences, so I divided each of the goats into conferences as follows:

A-7 - stands for the arrogant seven, contains trash talkers, either prior or during the game that negatively impacted their team. Also, contains the people who display and “Albert Gans”-type arrogance. The A-7 is a major conference that generally sends at least five individuals to the “dance”.

BIG-25 – Reserved for quarterbacks who gave less than 25 percent to their teams on the biggest and brightest stage. Comprised of 21 individuals, this power conference is well represented with over 80% members heading to the “dance” each year.

BIG OT – The BIG ONE-TIMER (“hockey term”) conference contains individuals who had one, single devastating play. This mid-major conference is a player every year with high quality individuals at the top and middle of the nine member conference.

MISC – Nope, it’s not the Michigan Super Conference, this is for individuals who performed outlandish acts that upstaged the Super Bowl. It may have been a coach video-taping an opponent practice, allegedly, a “half-rack” shot or a game so poorly officiated that people cannot remember the game itself. There all here in this mid-major that gets no respect and will be lucky to send a majority of their seven individuals.

Butterfinger – What the Big East is to College Basketball the “Butterfinger” is to Super Bowl goats. The fumblers and pass-droppers make up this major conference. All 10 individuals in this conference have a chance top “dance”.

DRUM – Individuals beaten like a drum are part of the DRUM conference. This small conference is lucky to have an automatic bid and most likely will not send a second individual.

DUM – Years ago, eight members of the DRUM conference decided they were too good and formed the DUM conference. The DUM has achieved more success than the DRUM and likely will send at least half of their members to the “show”.

GAG – Formerly known as the CHOK conference, has members who specialized in coming up small at the worst time. This major conference never sends less than half of the members.

LIMO – The LIttle MOmentum conference, which is closely related to the BIG OT with the exception that these individuals snuffed out positive momentum that their team never could recover from.

PEN-10 – The conferece with more legal problems than Lindsay Lohan. The PEN-10 contains individuals who either committed crimes prior to the game or committed a killah penalty.

SOFT – Newly formed conference with only five members. The individuals displayed a softness that would make Pau Gasol look like Bill Russell.

Without further ado here is the bracketology update for each conference:

A-7

Finish  Individual Team  SB  Bracketology Status 
1  Mike Martz  Stl  XXXVI  Conf Champ – IN
2  Bill Callahan  Oak  XXXVII  Lock 
3  Cliff Harris  DAL  X  Good Shape 
4  Fred Williamson  KC  I  Good Shape 
5  Bill Belichick  NEP  XLII  Good Shape 
6  Freddie Mitchell  PHIL  XXXIX  Bubble 
7  Thomas Henderson  DAL  XIII  Need Help 

A-7 Goatolgy

Mike Martz – Look all NFL head coaches are arrogant, but Martz is the MOAAC (Mother Of All . . .). There are rumors that the Patriots video-taped a Rams walk through. I believe that to be true. You know why? Because Martz probably invited the Pats to the practice, he


Super Bowl glory is mine! Wait, what?

figured it didn’t matter if the Patriots knew the game-plan, he was smarter and would find a way to fool Belichick. The reality? Belichick basically told Martz, “You will not throw the ball and win this game”. Martz still tried throw, throw and throw some more.

Bill Callahan – Why aren’t more college professors like old Cally? I mean why spend needless time changing around final exams from year to year. “Hmm, I wonder why all these moron frat boys aced my final?” And, yeah, I am not bitter about Cally’s little stint in Husker land. The resume is complete and Cally is a lock to be in the field of 64.

Cliff Harris – The top “trash talker” in this conference is a good bet to make the field. Harris taunted Steelers kicker Roy Gerela after a missed field goal. As Jack Lambert put it, “Yea, he is an idiot kicker, but he was our idiot kicker!” That spurred the Steelers to start playing with some passion and it turned out to be a key play in the game. That seems a bit weak to me, but the reality the Steelers did respond to the taunt to take the lead shortly after.

Fred Williamson – The “Hammer” promised to knock out the Packers receivers in Super Bowl II, instead Freddy was the one laying face down on the field. He will make just for the pure comedic value of the “Hammer” being “Hammered”.

Bill Belichick – The patron saint of Massachusetts, refused to stay for the end of the Super Bowl, instead he stormed off to pout in the locker room. Come on Bill, it’s not so bad you only lost one game that year. . .

Freddie Mitchell – Self nicknamed himself “Fed-Ex” because he always delivers. Yep, he always delivers the water when real players are thirsty. Rodney Harrison took note of him, however, which is why he is firmly on the bubble.

Thomas Henderson – Taunted Terry Bradshaw after a play and drew a huge penalty. Is that really a big deal? I mean Howie Long, Jimmy Johnson and the guest analysis taunt Bradshaw every Sunday on FOX. “Hollywood” needs major help.

BIG-25

Finish 

Individual 

Team 

SB 

Bracketology Status 

1  Earl Morrall  Balt  III  Conference Champ 
2  Craig Morton  Den  XII  Lock 
3  Neil O’Donnell  Pitt  XXX  Lock 
4  Kerry Collins  NYG  XXXV  Lock 
5  Rich Gannon  Oak  XXXVII  Lock 
6  Jim Kelly  BUFF  XXVIII  Lock 
7  Craig Morton  DAL  V  Lock 
8  Jim Kelly  Buff  XXVI  Lock 
9  Fran Tarkenton  MIN  IX  Lock 
10  John Elway  DEN  XXII  Lock 
11  Drew Bledsoe  NEP  XXXI  Good Shape 
12  Rex Grossman  CHI  XLI  Good Shape 
13  Ben Roethlisberger  Pitt  XL  Good Shape 
14  Joe Capp  MIN  IV  Good Shape 
15  Bill Kilmer  WASH  VII  Good Shape 
16  David Woodley  MIA  XVII  Good Shape 
17  Tony Eason  NEP  XX  Good Shape 
18  John Elway  DEN  XXIV  Good Shape 
19  Ron Jaworski PHIL  XV  Bubble 
20  Joe Theismann  Wash  XVIII  Bubble 
21  Jim Kelly  BUFF  XXVII  Bubble 

 

Earl Morrall – Posted a stellar 9.3 rating, but dominated this conference on the basis of a single play – when he missed a wide open wide receiver on a trick play that would have tied the game at 7-7. It’s one thing to miss a wide open receiver down field when when it’s the third option on a play. But this was a trick play! How many flea-flickers are setup to throw a pass tot eh running back in the flat or a receiver dragging across the middle or to a TE on a curl pattern? NONE! That’s how many. Every flea-flicker, since the beginning of time has been designed to hit the receiver on a deep pass! And to make matters worse, Morrall had successfully executed the exact same play for a touchdown earlier in the year. Maybe Bubba Smith (more on him in Part II) has a point.

strong>Craig Morton – The only quarterback in Super Bowl history to attempt at least 10 passes and throw as many interceptions as he had completions. I would say that qualifies as crapping the bed (I really need to get a CHOKE scale, so we can clearly define the level of a choke. Is “crapping the bed” worse than “crapping your pants?” Discuss!)

Neil O’Donnell - I think Larry Brown just sent O’Donnell the last of the royalty checks from that huge contract Brown signed with the Raiders shortly after Super Bowl 30.


Neil, the check is the mail – Larry.

Of course, it wasn’t all Neil’s fault. As Neil would put it, “I would never sell out a great teammate like Charles Johnson and tell you that he ran the wrong route. I mean you know I would never just throw the ball to a defensive back, but I am not going to sell out my teammate Charles Johnson. Charles is a good guy and he doesn’t deserve the heat that would come down on him if the world found out that he ran the wrong route. So he did. . ., ah, n’t, didn’t run the wrong route.”

Kerry Collins – A proud member of the exclusive “4-PICK” club and posted a putrid 7.1 passer rating. 7.1! How bad is that? Not registering a completion in a game gets you a 39.6 rating.

Rich Gannon – I will see your 4 picks and raise you a pick-6 (or three), yep, Gannon holds the Super Bowl record with 5 picks, wait you mean no quarterback in the history of the Super Bowl has thrown 6 picks? To be fair to Gannon, he lost his center the night before the big game, his head coach threw him under the bus by not changing the audibles and Jon Gruden knew him far too well. On somewhat bright side, Gannon threw 5 touchdowns in the game, sort of.

Jim Kelly – I’ll admit this is like horse racing with multiple entries, in this case Jim Kelly 1A, Jim Kelly 1B and Jim Kelly 1C. I find myself mad that Kelly didn’t play in more Super Bowls, so we could have an Elite Eight of Jim Kelly’s Super Bowl flops. In Super Bowl XXVIII, Kelly threw a monster interception that killed any chance Buffalo had of coming back. Add in an all-around below average game as a quarterback and his ridiculous comment after the AFC Championship “Deal with it America” when asked about the Bills being back for another beating and you have a solid entry into the field of 64. Jim Kelly and I have the same number of Super Bowl rings. “Deal with that, Jim!”

Craig Morton – How bad is it when you have a rating of 34.1, throw three picks and that is the crown jewel of your Super Bowl appearances?

Jim Kelly – In Super Bowl XXVI, Kelly posted a 44.8 rating and threw four picks in the Bills second consecutive SB loss. He did manage two late touchdowns, which will bode well for his resume, since clearly those TD’s came at garbage time when the Redskins starters were busy scoping the crowd for groupies and planning post-game parties. Essentially had the Giants, Redskins, Cowboys and Cowboys all played their second stringers Kelly might have four Super Bowl rings. He’s got that going for him.

Fran Tarkenton – Fran the man couldn’t run away from his share of poor Super Bowl performances and Super Bowl IX was pathetic – 14.1 rating and three picks. Though a lock for the tourney, a couple “bad losses” down the stretch might cost Fran a higher seed – 1. The weather was a joke; 2. The Steelers defense was not.

John Elway – PTD, as in Pre-Terrell-Davis, Elway tossed up his share of SB clunkers, but none worse than XXII, where he posted a 36.8 rating and threw three picks.

Drew Bledsoe – Another proud member of the “4-PICK” club, but he is the only member whose team actually had a chance to win the game. Patriot fans joke about what would have been if Bledsoe would have just been “poor”, instead of “unbelievably effing horrible”.

Rex Grossman – Rex might have been better served in the BIG OT conference but his 68.3 mediocre rating and overall shaky play warrants his inclusion in this monster conference. Hey, anytime you throw a back-breaking, game-ending pick-6 you have justified your existence in this elite group. As Steve Mariucci would put it “That interception return for a touchdown was a back breaker”.

Ben Roethlisberger – The only wiener in this conference. Clearly he was thinking about all the co-eds that would be within his grasp with a shiny Super Bowl ring on his finger, because he quarterbacked one of the poorest games in Super Bowl history but was fortunate that the “zebras” were on his side.

Joe Kapp – Joe Kapp is a scary guy, so I want to be delicate especially since rumor has it that he is a loyal reader. And I know with the abuse he took on the football field it probably takes him 3 hours to get out of bed each morning, but Kapp looks a lot like actor James Coburn, if Coburn was on steroids and crazy. Anyway Coburn starred in a movie called Looker that I saw when I was a young boy and his character scared the crap out of me, so much so that I haven’t forgotten it someone 29 years later. So, let’s just leave it at – Kapp didn’t play a great game and has a great chance to be in the field of 64.

Bill Kilmer – Kilmer turned to football after a failed career as a professional bowler. He had the unenviable task of going up against the Dolphins “Killer Beez” (edited for the 21st century) defense. Some players relish the chance to measure themselves against greatest, Kilmer not so much – 104 yards and 3 picks.

David Woodley – 4-14, 50 rating. Four completions, that’s all he completed is four lousy passes?

Tony Eason – Hey Woodley, I see your four completions and raise you a zero completion game! He was pulled early, but come on, Raymond Berry you couldn’t leave him in for a screen pass. That’s cold! And to think Pats fans still think if Steve Grogan would have started, they would’ve won.

John Elway – Elway, crica Super Bowl XXIV, bounced more passes than John Stockton. He did score a rushing touchdown late in the third quarter and wildly spiked ball as though the Broncos were only down three touchdowns as opposed to five.

Ron Jaworski Jaws is on the bubble, but anytime you can turn a mediocre linebacker into Raider cult hero, you have to be given strong consideration for a bid.

Joe Theismann – It’s not Theeeesmann’s fault that Marcus Allen ran right, ate a Big Kahuna hamburger, headed to the middle, washed the burger down with a refreshing beverage, bounced left, shot the Flock of Seagulls guy and out raced everyone to the endzone. But he didn’t help the Skins cause with 2 picks and 45.3 rating.

Jim Kelly – Could we see three fourths of the final four comprised of Jim Kelly’s Super flops? It’s is certainly possible, but my guess is this version of Kelly likely won’t make it that far if he even gets in the tourney. This was Kelly’s second best Super Bowl effort – 82 yards and 2 picks!

Nothing Lasts Forever – Caveman’s Banner League Awards

We all subscribe to the theory that nothing lasts forever. Well, except of the fact that I actually thought I would forever be the champion of the Banner Fantasy League.

There is plenty of data that supports that thinking. I had won back-to-back titles despite having less than stellar drafts (which I blame on the fact that I have to run the draft and spend too much time pining for laughs). The common thought about those titles was that my draft day roster was not good enough to win the title; therefore, I was forced to raid other rosters and relentlessly badger the owners into trades that favored me. I definitely heard about it.

After the 2008 season I made a vow to several owners that I would not make a single trade during the 2009 thus proving that I could win with or without trading. I was able to keep up that end of the bargain and in the process learned that patience in fantasy football is invaluable. I stuck with Matt Schuab after his opening week stink-bomb against the Jets (in 2008 he would have been long gone in a panic move prior to his fabulous week 2 performance). I stood strong with Ray Rice, despite John Harbaugh’s refusal to give his best goal line back the ball at the goal line.

I ripped through the 2009 regular season with a 17-2 record, sensing that even my fellow owners were in awe of my success and hopelessness had set in amongst a few of them. I heard comments like “if you win again, I won’t play next year” and the inevitable “you’re the luckiest SOB on the planet”. One owner dreamed of “shocking the world, al a Buster Douglas against Mike Tyson”, yep I had reached Mike Tyson status, the most feared fantasy football owner on the planet. Everyone wanted a shot at the champ, but when they got their chance it turned out more like Michael Spinks against Tyson than Douglas.

My guess is a 17-2 record will never be surpassed or duplicated even if this league continued on for eternity. This wasn’t a “cheap” 17-2 either; this was a butt kickin’ tour similar to the “Mega Mushroom” power-up in Mario Kart. The 17-2 record could have been one for the ages, right along with the 1995-96 Chicago Bulls (72-10) or the 1927 Yankees (110-44). Instead, better comparisons would be the 1995-96 Detroit Red Wings (62-13), the 2001 Seattle Mariners (116-46) or the 2006-07 Dallas Mavericks (67-15). What do all these teams have in common? Each had stellar regular season, one of the best ever in each teams respective league, but it essentially resulted in nothing because each failed to bring home the title.

But the team that fits Caveman best is the 2007 New England Patriots. The Patriots were characterized as a cocky and arrogant, they were despise outside of the Patriot die-hard circle and Pats haters wanted them to lose in the most painful possible way.

That pretty much sums up the feelings about Caveman in the Banner League. I guarantee the majority of the owners did a fist pump that would make Derek Jeter proud when Adrian Peterson crossed the goal-line for the first time Monday night. Then when Peterson put the game on ice late in the 4th quarter, those same owners extended their arms triumphantly, as if they shared in this epic event.

So there you have it, the beast has been chained, the giant slain, therefore the streets are safe again. Sure I could make the excuse that losing Steven Jackson minutes before kickoff cost me the game, but I won’t. Instead, I will congratulate Evil Beagles on a great season and championship game. I could think back to Saturday night when I positioned myself for the remote possibility that Jackson or Fitzgerald would sit out and instead of picking up Devin Aromashodu, I went with Josh Morgan. I can second guess and say that if the coin comes up heads (literally), I would have played Aromashodu, as opposed to Ganther. But that wouldn’t be fair to the new champion.

Yes, I could lament the fact that Mike Tomlin hasn’t refuse to challenge a moderately challengeable play in his career, yet he decided against a challenge when Todd Heap was clearly down at the one. Or, I could bemoan the fact the refs in the Philadelphia/Denver fame refused to call an obvious pick play that allowed DeSean Jackson to be wide open for a touchdown reception. The points for those two plays? 14.55! Ironically, the difference in the championship game was 14.50! But I will refuse to mourn these plays.

I could think back to week 13, when Land Shark lost by .08, thus losing the division in the process, and wonder what could have been if Shark didn’t play an inactive DeAngelo Williams, or Derrick Mason doesn’t drop an easy ball to catch at the end of the game. What could have been? Land Shark facing, and losing to, Caveman in the finals. But again to point out such frivolities would detract from the new champion and I refuse to do so.

At the end of the day the THREE-PEAT wasn’t meant to be, so fellow owners make it a point gather around Evil Beagles, hoist them on your shoulders and carry them around as each of you vicariously share in this victory!

On to the post-season awards (here is a link to origination of the awards for the 2009 season):

The “Kevin Allen award for crash and burn at takeoff” goes to Hulkamaniacs. This team checked into a shelter for neglect/abuse and begged me not to tell Hulk where they had gone. Wow, just wow, this season started with such high hopes for the Hulkster, but the first three weeks netted a 1-5 record and the mantra of “Wait till next year” was being played. Though this team crashed and burned early, there was never an attempt to recover, instead Hulk effectively urinated on the burning ash at the crash site. The Hulks were still alive for a playoff as late as week 12, yet steadfastly refused to part ways with one of their quarterbacks (Brady and Manning) for quality at the RB/WR/TE positions and instead played a free agent (Larry Johnson) and two injured players (Westbrook and Benson).

The “The Mike Junkin award for biggest draft day reach” goes to Desert Pimps. Can we change the award to read “reaches”? Let’s start with supplemental draft rounds – Carson Palmer and Willie Parker? Both could’ve been had a much later position. What hurts worse is Pimps bypassed two studs in Maurice Jones-Drew and DeAngelo Williams. Then let’s move to the 4th and 5th round, where Pimps irrationally selected back-to-back defenses, then added a third defense again in the 7th round. In fairness, the back half of the draft was stellar, netting Nate Burleson, Steve Smith (NYG) and Jeremy Maclin in the late rounds.

The “The Todd Blackledge award for playing quarterback Russian Roulette and drawing the bullet.” goes to Pherguson’s Philly Phanatic. Pherg kept Kurt Warner as his main quarterback, but with concerns about Warner’s health abounding and the allure of playing two quarterbacks they decided to make it a priority to get a solid second quarterback and drafted three additional QBs. The problem they drew three bullets with Matt Hasselbeck, Trent Edwards and Marc Bulger. Add to that a fourth bullet with the key free agent pick-up AJ Feeley and this award is well deserved.

The “The Andre Ware award for being a product of the system” goes to Tazmanians and Green’s Meanies. Essentially TAZ lived and died with two teams – the Chargers and Falcons. For the most part every TD scored by those two teams went to TAZ, which is great when those teams are playing against shoddy defenses like Tampa Bay or Kansas City. But unfortunately in the playoffs the Falcons and Chargers ran up against two above average defenses and his big four could only muster 46 points compared to the 80 points they averaged during their eight game winning streak.

Green Meanies lived and died with a big three of Brees, Witten and Moss. Those three led Meanies to their first playoff berth with a non-bye average score of 66 points. Those three had reached the heights of 90 combined points, which is what was needed in the playoffs. Unfortunately, the big three combined for a mere 41 and Meanies playoff stay was as short as the Rodman/Electra marriage.

The “The Reggie Rogers award for doing your due diligence and ignoring a checkered past” goes to Beantown Warpigs. Brett Favre has broken down late in the season every year for seemingly the last millennium, yet ‘pig held onto to him the bitter end when Favre popped a cap in his season in the semi-finals. Down 12 points with Favre against Adrian Peterson seemed like a no brainer, after Favre had out-scored Peterson by at least 12 points in seven previous games including the three of the four most recent games. That didn’t happen as Favre turned in his worst performance of the season. What could have been different – maybe a “sell high” earlier in the year, where Favre could have netted an adequate replacement and an upgraded running back.

The “The Rich Campbell award for I could be doing something more productive on Sunday than watching my fantasy stats like a teenage boy viewing his first skin flick” goes to Unfrozen Caveman. I suspect that other owners have are active on Sunday, but I doubt any of them take 6.75 hours to vacuum a house that under normal conditions takes .25 hours. It’s not a coincidence that the time from the beginning of the early Sunday games to the end of the late afternoon games is roughly 6.5 hours. A typical Sunday at Casa Caveman has Caveman pacing the family room, with remote in hand and laptop fired up to track scores while attempting to watch every game at once. Obsess much!

The “The Ki-Jana Carter award for perpetual mediocrity” goes to Filthy Little Monkeys and DA BOYZ FROM NYC. There the only two original franchises that never made a playoff appearance. In DA BOYZ case, they have played one of the toughest schedules on each of the three seasons and they tend to go as a certain team in New York goes. In Monkeys case, they have had a fair share of bad luck against them, but they lack the in-season activity to keep up with the better teams. When you get drafted by the Monkeys it’s like being in the Mafia, you never get out.

The “The Akili Smith award for catching a falling knife” goes to Kristi Kremes. How about going from Super Bowl contender to out of the playoffs in three weeks? Kremes finished the season losing six of their final seven games and failing to make the playoffs. Beginning in week 10, Kremes rattled off 69.6, 61, 76.2 and 75.7 efficiency ratings (the league average is right around 85%), which lead to their standings free-fall that mirrors Obama’s approval rating.

And four bonus awards:

The “Gilette MACH 3 award” goes to Land Shark. The .12 is all that separated Shark from a division championship and a trip to the finals. Those are two of the most brutal losses in the history of fantasy football, but FF is cyclical in nature and what goes around comes around (oh no!).

The “Mouth that roared while the team whimpered award” goes to Don’t Mess With the Rohan. This award goes to the owner that talked the second most trash in the league; unfortunately the team didn’t live up to the hype of the owner. Whine all you want about bench points, but in reality “most bench points” is not worthy of an award but rather an indictment of a poor owner. Bam, and the hits keep on coming!

The “Best team on paper doesn’t always win award” goes to Vince’s Barbershop. This roster was loaded, yet through injuries, un-performance and general bad luck Vince failed to make a significant impact in the playoffs. They has highly ranked studs – Calvin Johnson, Frank Gore, Matt Ryan and Jay Cutler and this was the year Sproles would cut into Tomlinson’s workload (instead the Chargers treated this year as a career achievement tribute to LT2). The roster was filled with young talented productive players – Austin Collie, Sidney Rice, Jeremy Maclin and Knowshon Moreno. If we had the ability to bring this exact team back next year, they would be the pre-season favorite to win it all.

And, drumroll please, the final award:

The “Owner of the Year award” goes to Evil Beagles. The best team deservedly won the championship this year. While Beagles had a great start to the draft with Chris Johnson and Adrian Peterson and then proceeded to nail their first four picks after with Colston, DeSean Jackson, Greg Olsen and Joe Flacco. No other owner had that solid of first six picks. At the end of the day, Beagles was virtually flawless in their team management!

All kidding aside, well done Beagles, you earned and deserve this championship. And remember winning this championship is a big deal, especially considering the close proximity of the most owners.

Tuesday Morning Fantasy Headlines

Wow! Seems like just yesterday we were all crammed into that over-priced room at Dave and Busters for the draft and now we are officially done with season three of the Banner League.

Congratulations to Unfrozen Caveman for demonstrating unbelievable consistency in winning their second consecutive total points championship. Most experts would agree that winning the season long total points is a true measure of fantasy greatness.

In the toilet bowl, Pherguson’s Phillie Phanatic put up a high score and gave Kristi’s Kremes a Broad Street beatin’ to pick up a toilet bowl championship.

In the third place game, Land Shark, off the bitterly disappointing loss in the semifinals, came back strong and dined on a ham deluxe (Beantown Warpigs).

In other action, Evil Beagles beat Unfrozen Caveman to win Banner Bowl III.

2009 Fantasy Playoff Predictions – Super Bowl Edition

I am a self-aware, realist. Therefore, I can openly admit that I obsess a bit too much about fantasy football. Part of it is because I hate to lose at anything, but it is especially frustrating when you have a total inability to control the outcome. For example I am much better when I lose a video game, because at least I know it’s me at the helm. But fantasy football is virtually out of an owners hands; sure you can use the overload of information available to you and make decisions that – mitigate risk, put you in the best position to win and are for all intents and purposes intelligent. But then you have to release the team into the wild and you have no control as you watch a predator like Gary Kubiak devour your team like a Lioness in the African Jungle.

Last weekend was as topsy-turvy of a (fantasy) weekend as I have had in my life. And the obsessing began at kickoff. I have this funny superstitious belief that if I have the first player to score on a Sunday in my lineup, it is a good omen, if I don’t have the first touchdown, ah well, hold on! The first player to score last Sunday – Justin Gage! Not in my lineup, but fortunately I wasn’t playing against him.

With five semifinal games, I would have been better off locking myself in a closet and waiting until Tuesday to re-enter the living world. The talk around Casa Caveman is that I may need to add as many as two additional sabbaticals for next season.

I literally spent the next six hours flipping between games, checking stats and picking up pieces of a broken remote (the good news is that DirecTV remotes are a mere $20, so I picked up an extra one specifically for this week). If was clear from Thursday night that I was doomed in one of my leagues, so I was effectively down to being competitive in four leagues. Early Sunday, I was buried in two leagues and felt great in two of the leagues. By the end of the first quarter in the late Sunday games, I was convinced that I was doomed in all five leagues (the remote was still working despite being hurled against frame of the couch at least four times).

Right about the middle of late games is when Aaron Rodgers put two of my teams on his back and went nuts. For the first time that day, I sat down and was able breathe normally feeling as though I would survive in four leagues. Then in a span of about 30 minutes things went south again – Derrick Mason, Donovan McNabb and Brandon Marshall all scored touchdowns. So much for breathing normally!

I feel comfortable with three of the leagues, but as the Sunday late games head to crunch time, the Banner league (the league that means the most to me) has tightened. The end of the Packers/Steelers game was excruciating, as I had the Packers defense and my opponent had Heath Miller. I was up eight before the NFL decided it wasn’t ready to have a playoff year without the Steelers. My lead disappeared and the remote disintegrated into thousands of tiny pieces, as I stomped on it like Nick Santoro on the wise guy who insulted Ace.

But all’s well that ends well, as I ended up winning four of the five games. I caught an amazing break with DeAngelo heading to the bench early (if you were offended by over zealous cheering when Williams limped off the field, I apologize, it’s not personal, it’s just business), survived the Redskins defense, resisted the temptation to change my lineup to hedge against another league (those who know me know that I always hedge) and got just enough from the Giants kicker.

Of course, I now have four championship games this week – time for more remotes!

Before I get to the championship predictions, let’s recap last week:

Fantasy Sharks finished last week at 2-4, ESPN at 4-2 and CEP 5-1.

The methodology – for each league I took the prediction from the Fantasy Sharks (FS), ESPN weekly projections and the CEP (Caveman’s Expert Predictions). The CEP use a top down approach, picking the final score of the game first, then assigning the scores to individual players and in the process making sure that everything ties together. For example, I don’t have Tom Brady throwing 2 touchdowns, with Randy Moss, Wes Welker and Ben Watson each receiving one. I cannot vouch for the accuracy of the other predictions, but I would guess they avoid egregious mistakes.

This week I added “rank” to the predictions which is the CEP way to lining up each player as though it were a wrestling duel. In addition, I will put the anticipated score (using the CEP) at the end of each grouping of games.

Banner Fantasy League – Evil Beagles v. Unfrozen Caveman

Unfrozen Caveman 

Pos 

Rank 

Player 

FS 

ESPN 

CEP 

QB  

1  

Schaub, Matt HOU QB  

22.00  

22.56  

24.80  

RB  

2  

Rice, Ray BAL RB  

20.80  

21.00  

20.10

WR1  

3  

Fitzgerald, Larry ARI WR  

19.00  

19.30  

11.20  

WR2  

4  

Austin, Miles DAL WR  

24.00  

21.40  

16.40  

UF  

5  

Wells, Chris ARI RB  

14.00  

16.60  

20.50  

F2  

6  

Charles, Jamaal KCC RB  

17.50  

8.60  

19.40  

F1  

7  

Jackson, Steven STL RB

19.00  

20.70  

14.50  

TE  

8  

Davis, Vernon SFO TE  

17.50  

18.70  

14.50  

DT  

9  

Packers, Green Bay GBP Def  

8.00  

8.00  

14.00  

K  

10  

Tynes, Lawrence NYG PK  

6.00  

9.00  

9.00  

  

  

Total:  

167.80  

165.86  

164.40  

           

Evil Beagles

Pos 

Rank 

Player 

FS 

ESPN 

CEP 

RB  

1  

Johnson, Chris TEN RB  

23.50  

23.20  

27.70  

F1  

2  

Peterson, Adrian MIN RB  

24.00  

21.10  

28.20  

WR1  

3  

Jackson, DeSean PHI WR  

23.00  

20.90  

21.20  

WR2  

4  

Colston, Marques NOS WR  

17.00  

21.80  

17.10  

F2  

5  

Crabtree, Michael SFO WR  

17.00  

19.30  

15.20  

QB  

6  

Flacco, Joe BAL QB  

23.80  

15.30  

14.30  

UF  

7  

Morris, Maurice DET RB  

18.50  

17.50  

10.50  

TE  

8  

Boss, Kevin NYG TE  

17.50  

8.60  

11.50  

DT  

9  

Browns, Cleveland CLE Def

8.00  

3.00  

4.00  

K  

10  

Nugent, Mike ARI PK  

7.00  

5.00  

9.00  

  

  

Total:  

179.30  

155.70  

158.70  

 

Score: 

Friday 

Beagles 

27.70  

Caveman 

2.00  

Sunday AM 

Beagles 

74.60  

Caveman 

89.30  

Sunday PM 

Beagles 

130.50  

Caveman 

150.00  

Sunday Night 

Beagles 

130.50  

Caveman 

166.40  

Monday Night 

Beagles 

158.70  

Caveman 

166.40  

 

Beagles look to do what no other team in history has been able to – have the balls to take down Caveman. True last week the Caveman needed help from the grim reaper (Deangelo Williams) and nine points from his kicker the hard way (6 extra points and 1 field goal), but isn’t that what a champion does – survive! And say what you want, but Caveman is a great champion!

Interestingly enough, ESPN and CEP have this game virtually identical, while fantasy sharks is predicting a 12 point win by Beagles.

Key matchups:

Chris Johnson v. Matt Schaub – No doubt the Titans will feed the ball to Johnson much like krill is fed to Shamu. It’s no secret Coach Jeff Fisher wants Johnson to get 2000 yards and in reality that solve the titans have left to play for this year. Schuab house to match Johnson point for point or Caveman could give up critical points up critical points.

The receivers –both teams starting wide receivers are the third and fourth ranked players, yet the CEP has Beagles netting a plus 11 in this match-up. Caveman could make up significant points but there are serious questions about Fitzgerald’s health, however, champ bailey will be shadowing Jackson all game long and if Colston does not get his early he may be on the bench late.

Flacco/Crabtree v. Wells/Charles – I can see Crabtree having one of those “no effing way” games the since you have to figure the 49ers will be able to do pretty much anything if they want against the Lions and I can see them forcing the ball to their prized draft pick. In years past, the match up against the Steelers would have been scary for the Super Bowl weekend, however now their secondary couldn’t stop the passing game of a wishbone team and Flacco could also go off. At the end of the day, if this match-up gets out of hand for one of the teams, it will determine the winner of Banner Bowl III.

Final Analysis:

It is very tough to win three championships in a row, but Caveman has a lot going their way –a 0.02 victory in the semifinals that reeks of “team of destiny”, great week 16 match-ups and history. I cannot go against the CEP and Unfrozen Caveman continues his dominance over the Banner League for a third consecutive year.

 

Sizzling Fantasy League – Desperados v. Fearsome Foursome

Fearsome Foursome 

Pos 

Rank 

Player 

FS 

ESPN 

CEP 

QB  

1  

Rodgers, Aaron GBP QB  

45.50  

31.70  

25.00  

RB  

2  

Rice, Ray BAL RB  

19.30  

19.50  

18.90

F1  

3  

Stewart, Jonathan CAR RB  

17.65  

22.10  

17.50  

WR2  

4  

White, Roddy ATL WR  

15.00  

15.60  

17.00  

F2  

5  

Thomas, Pierre NOS RB  

18.50  

23.10  

10.90  

WR1  

6  

Bowe, Dwayne KCC WR

9.00  

17.20  

15.50  

F3  

7  

Davis, Fred WAS TE  

16.50  

17.30  

8.30  

TE  

8  

Finley, Jermichael GBP TE  

20.00  

13.70  

9.80  

DT  

9  

Bengals, Cincinnati CIN Def  

20.00

9.00  

6.00  

K  

10  

Prater, Matt DEN PK  

4.00  

5.00  

6.00  

  

  

Total:  

185.45  

174.20  

134.90  

           

Desperados 

Pos 

Rank 

Player 

FS 

ESPN 

CEP 

WR1  

1  

Johnson, Andre HOU WR  

20.50  

30.30

29.00  

RB  

2  

Gore, Frank SFO RB  

26.10  

20.10  

26.30  

TE  

3  

Gates, Antonio SDC TE  

18.00  

21.20  

19.50  

QB  

4  

Smith, Alex SFO QB  

19.00  

26.70  

23.00  

WR2

5  

Nicks, Hakeem NYG WR

4.50  

8.20  

8.60  

F1  

6  

Bradshaw, Ahmad NYG RB  

16.75  

12.35  

14.60  

F2  

7  

Ganther, Quinton WAS RB  

11.00  

13.40  

7.30  

F3  

8  

Thomas, Dave NOS TE  

14.50

5.30  

9.00  

DT  

9  

Cowboys, Dallas DAL Def  

17.00  

6.00  

4.00  

K  

10  

Hartley, Garrett NOS PK  

7.00  

11.00  

8.00  

  

  

Total:  

154.35  

154.55  

149.30  

 

Score: 

Friday 

Desperados 

19.50  

Foursome 

Sunday AM 

Desperados 

88.70  

Foursome 

120.60  

Sunday PM 

Desperados 

138.00  

Foursome 

126.60  

Sunday Night 

Desperados 

149.30  

Foursome 

134.90  

Monday Night 

Desperados 

149.30

Foursome 

134.90  

 

Desperados have the two most explosive players in this matchup, with Andre Johnson and Frank Gore. Gore’s matchup couldn’t be any better and Andre is a beast. Plain and simple, Foursome cannot get into a shootout against those two guys. Throw in the “Alex Smith” factor (playing against a terrible defense) and the top three scores from this match up could come from Desperados, making them a virtual lock to take home the championship.

However, Fantasy Sharks and EPSN love them some of Foursome, while CEP favor Desperados.

Key Matchups:

Ganther/Bradshaw v. Bowe/Davis – I have both of these sets of players ranked as six and seven for the respective teams. But Foursome could certainly pick up big points here if Bowe can convert on a few more of his likely double digit targets. It’s not out of the realm of possibility that Ganther and Bradshaw are both the below double digits. I have this match up going to Fearsome by nine points, I believe it needs to be 20 plus for them to have a chance.

Dallas DT v. Cincinnati DT – Last week the respective defense is played by these two teams varied by 40 points (Baltimore v. Washington). This matchup figures to be much closer but if either team gains a significant advantage here, it will be tough to overcome.

Aaron Rodgers – Wow, Fantasy Sharks has some balls! Predicting a 45.5 effort by Rodgers is ridiculous, but Foursome absolutely has to have a stellar performance from his top ranked player this week. Anything less than 25 points will spell doom in their quest for their first championship.

Final analysis:

I get the sense Foursome is tightening up worse than Andy Reid in a big game – look out for the challenge flag to be thrown, with them challenging whether or not Tomlinson was actually in their lineup! In addition to that, Desperados is bringing out that the Cowboys’ defense against them, a defense Foursome dropped a week ago. All that adds up to Desperados hoisting the championship trophy come Sunday night.

Dry Heat Fantasy League – Garage Stumbling v. Cleveland Steamers

Clevland Steamers

Pos

Rank

Player

FS

ESPN

CEP

QB

1

Rodgers, Aaron GBP QB

45.50

31.70

25.00

WR1

2

Marshall, Brandon DEN WR

16.00

17.30

16.40

WR2

3

Welker, Wes NEP WR

20.00

14.60

12.50

RB

4

Mendenhall, Rashard PIT RB

7.10

13.80

15.50

F1

5

Snelling, Jason ATL RB

22.25

31.30

15.80

F2

6

Jackson, Fred BUF RB

15.50

16.35

11.70

TE

7

Davis, Vernon SFO TE

15.50

16.20

13.00

F3

8

Bell, Mike NOS RB

9.50

5.20

10.50

DT

9

Patriots, New England NEP Def

12.00

6.00

3.00

K

10

Hartley, Garrett NOS PK

7.00

11.00

8.00

  

  

Total:

170.35

163.45

131.40

           

Garage Stumbling

Pos

Rank

Player

FS

ESPN

CEP

QB

1

Brees, Drew NOS QB

23.40

28.00

31.20

WR2

2

Jackson, Vincent SDC WR

19.00

20.20

18.50

TE

3

Gates, Antonio SDC TE

18.00

21.20

19.50

F1

4

Smith, Steve NYG WR

9.00

16.40

15.00

WR1

5

Wayne, Reggie IND WR

16.00

8.00

10.00

F2

6

Collie, Austin IND WR

6.00

15.60

14.50

RB

7

Maroney, Laurence NEP RB

13.50

12.75

12.30

F3

8

Gage, Justin TEN WR

12.00

4.70

8.50

DT

9

Falcons, Atlanta ATL Def

12.00

9.00

4.00

K

10

Crosby, Mason GBP PK

8.00

7.00

8.00

  

  

Total:

136.90

142.85

141.50

 

Score:

Friday

Garage

46.50

Steamers

Sunday AM

Garage

117.00

Steamers

102.00

Sunday PM

Garage

141.50

Steamers

131.40

Sunday Night

Garage

141.50

Steamers

131.40

Monday Night

Garage

141.50

Steamers

131.40

 

Garage Stumbling has question marks all over their lineup, but pound for pound their lineup is better than Steamers. Surprisingly, and I am sure to the relief of both owners, this game will be decided by the close of the Sunday afternoon games.

Key Matchups:

Brees v. Rodgers – Steamers will have to have the top two ranked players from each roster to play to a draw in order to have a chance to compete. While both have cushy match-ups against brutally bad teams, where would you rather play – in a dome or in sub-freezing temperatures? Exactly! A-Rod house to hold his own and keep this score within 10 points.

Friday Night Players v. Marshall/Welker/M. Bell – Stumbling left the door opened with the below average performance on Friday night. Jackson, Gates and Gage combined for 26 points, 20 points below their projected total DOS up in this game in the eyes of the CEP. Steamers three need to keep pace (39.40 points) in order to capitalize on this opening half.

History v. Steamers – It’s well documented Steamers playoff failures. Despite owning a 39-15 career record (six games better than their closest competitor), Steamers have never won a title. In 2006, it was the Tomlinson/Westbrook show combining for 60 points while Chad Johnson and Antonio Bryant were limited to 8 points. In 2007, the most painful of all the playoff losses, a 12-1 regular season, ended with a brutal loss in the finals. In 2008, the team fell apart down the stretch and lost a very winnable semi-final game.

Final analysis:

Last week it looked like Steamers season would again end in heartbreak when Josh Cribbs took off on his second return of the game. However, from that point forward the stars seem to align perfectly for Steamers. And now he’s gotten a huge break with the underperformance of Garage’s Christmas night trio. Barring a Drew Brees “no effing way game”, the title goes to Cleveland (that’s the first time those words have ever been written)!

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